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The Largest Freezer in the World
By Tom Dyson

May 14, 2008

The largest freezer in the world is in Le Mars, Iowa. The freezer is six stories high and shaped like a cube. The local newspaper calls it a "high rise freezer."

The freezer belongs to Wells' Dairy. Wells' Dairy is America's largest private producer of ice cream. It owns the Blue Bunny brand, but it also produces ice cream for Haagen-Dazs, Weight Watchers, and Walt Disney.

No other town in the world produces as much ice cream as they produce in Le Mars. Le Mars is the ice cream capital of the world.

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Last week, I went to Iowa to research agriculture. While I was there, I passed through Le Mars and saw the Wells' dairy plant. One of the locals I talked to knows someone who works in the freezer. He says the ice cream freezer is full of frozen pork. I asked the local why. "The Wells brothers must be speculating on a rise in pork prices," he answered.

The Wells are making a smart move. I think we're approaching a major bull move in hogs and cattle (although there is probably a little more liquidation to come first).

You see, livestock farmers go broke when grain prices are high and meat prices are low. That's the way it is right now. Take a look at this chart my colleague Ian Davis put together...

Corn Prices

Two large hog farming concerns went bankrupt last week in Le Mars. Eric, a hog farmer I met, says hog producers are losing $40 on every pig they raise. I heard stories of farmers killing their cows and pigs at birth... They use females for breeding. They use the males for meat. Right now, it's cheaper to kill the males than it is to fatten them up and sell them as meat.

Smithfield Foods, the largest hog producer in the nation, is cutting its herd. Earlier this year, Smithfield announced it would reduce its output of hogs by 800,000 to 1 million heads.

Eric said he knew trouble was coming and sold his hogs last year. Now he uses his hog farm as a "hog hotel." He receives rent for taking care of another person's hogs, but takes no risk (except the credit risk of his customer). He has an option to buy a piece of these hogs later in the year if he wishes. He says he'll wait about six months to buy hogs... when the herd reductions start to bite.

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How to Buy High-Profit Corn

How to Invest in the Most Efficient Way To Feed the World

When the gold price rises, jewelry gets more expensive. It's the same way with farm animals. When the corn price rises, livestock must get more expensive. Corn has doubled in the past 18 months, but livestock prices are still in the same range they were six years ago. They will catch up with corn.

Here's how you play it: Buy a livestock ETF. Two trade in London under the symbols CATL.L and HOGS.L. They track the Dow Jones AIG sub-indexes for live cattle and hogs.

Good investing,

Tom

Editor's note: Tom Dyson is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Tom Dyson.

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THE REAL GREAT LEAP FORWARD IN ACTION

China is finally making the real great leap forward... and Fluor is reaping the benefits.

Fluor is one of world's largest infrastructure builders. It employs more than 41,000 people in the construction of refineries, highways, power plants, LNG facilities, pipelines, and all other things needed to build modern civilization.

Fluor destroyed Wall Street's estimates yesterday, posting a 60% increase in first-quarter earnings. Its work backlog increased 27%. Fluor credited strong demand from the energy sector. The energy sector credits increased Asian demand for record coal, oil, and gas prices. We credit Asia's decision to throw its ridiculous communist policies in the garbage.

As we said last year... the "great" communist leader Mao Tse-tung would be disappointed with the thriving economies of Asia, which now lean toward the free market. Ayn Rand would be proud... She'd also probably buy a few infrastructure shares.

Fluor Corp.

Long-dated natural gas (NG) prices have adjusted upwards in recent months, but have lagged crude oil. We remain bullish and believe that it is too soon to scale back long/overweight positions.

Canadian natural gas production and rig count remain weak because of cost inflation and the strong Canadian dollar.

U.S. natural gas production has rebounded but depletion rates are high and the rig count may be topping out. In addition, significant exploitation of non-conventional gas shale deposits will be expensive and take years before bearing fruit.

Moreover, the plunge in liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports during the second half of last year underscored that they will not be a panacea with Asia and Europe competing vigorously for LNG.

– BCA Research

China's retail sales climbed at the fastest pace since at least 1999, signaling that domestic consumption may help to buffer the world's fourth-biggest economy against an export slowdown.

Sales rose 22 percent to a record 814.2 billion yuan ($116 billion) in April after gaining 21.5 percent in March, the statistics bureau said today. That was more than the 21 percent median estimate of 27 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
– Bloomberg

Fluor Corp.  jumped the most since March 2001, climbing 13 percent to $188.13.

The largest publicly traded U.S. engineering company reported first-quarter profit above analyst estimates and said 2008 earnings will be higher than previously projected.
– Bloomberg

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