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The World's Cheapest Stock Market is Ready to Soar
By Tom Dyson
June 23, 2008

Jim Rogers picked up the phone and called a German stockbroker. He asked the broker to buy him a portfolio of German stocks...

"I think you're about to have the biggest bull market you've had in two or three generations," Rogers told the broker, noting he planned to hold the stocks for three years.

The request confused the broker. Normally, clients would ask him for research or his opinion. He wasn't used to Rogers' forthright manner. Besides, Germany had been in a bear market for two decades. The broker couldn't believe anyone would be crazy enough to put so much money into German stocks.


"The broker was dumbfounded," says Rogers. "He thought I was a madman."

It was 1982. The German stock market crumbled in 1962 and had traded sideways ever since. Meanwhile, the German economy had boomed, and companies multiplied their earnings, revenues, and profits.

The situation caught Jim Rogers' eye...

"So there was basic value there," Rogers said in a 1989 interview. "If there is very good value, then I'm probably not going to lose much money even if I'm wrong."

Buying value is a great strategy... but it doesn't work without timing. For instance, Rogers could have bought into Germany five years earlier on the same theory... and sat on dead money for five years.

So Rogers waits for a catalyst. In this case, the catalyst was an election. Rogers knew Germany would throw out the socialists and elect the pro-business Christian Democrat party. He figured German firms would pile money into the economy if the Christian Democrats won the election.

Rogers was right. The pro-business party won the election, and between 1982 and 1985, German stocks nearly tripled.

Jim Rogers is a legend. His book Investment Biker influenced me more than any other finance book I've ever read. I first picked it up 10 years ago, and I've followed Jim Rogers ever since. I've watched his interviews on television, read newspaper stories about him, and attended a couple of his lectures. He doesn't make many investments. And he's always forthright with his opinions. It's never hard to figure out what he's doing with his money.

I can tell you, Jim Rogers is never wrong. Just look at the two trades he's recommended so far this decade. In 1999, he started telling people to buy commodities. He set up an index to track commodities – the Rogers International Commodities Index – and published a book about commodities in 2004. The Rogers International Commodities Index is up 470% since inception.

China was his second trade of the decade. He's been talking up China since the early part of this decade, too. The Chinese stock market went up 400% between 2006 and 2007...

Now Jim is recommending a new trade.

He started investing in this idea in March. It was the first time in his life he'd ever bought a stock in this country. Then, in April, he told an audience he liked this country so much he'd like to live there. The local stock market jumped 2% when traders heard Rogers make these comments...

This stock market has lagged the rest of the world for 10 years. It's the cheapest stock market in the Datastream database of international stock indexes.
Related Articles

Fixing My Big Investment Mistake This Year

We Need to Get Our Money into China

And we have a catalyst. Just like in Germany, a new political party recently won power in this country... And it promises to make major changes.

Jim Rogers tripled his money in Germany. I think he'll triple our money in this market, too. I'll tell you the name of the country in my next column.

Good investing,

Tom

Editor's note: Tom Dyson is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Tom Dyson.

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NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Massey Energy (MEE)... coal
Peabody Energy (BTU)... coal
James River Coal (JRCC)... coal
Walters Industries (WLT)... coal
Mosaic (MOS)... agriculture
Agrium (AGU)... agriculture
Syngenta (SYT)... agriculture
Monsanto (MON)... agriculture
CF Industries (CF)... agriculture
Potash Sask (POT)... agriculture
Nabors (NBR)... oil services
Unit Corp (UNT)... oil services
BJ Services (BJS)... oil services
Halliburton (HAL)... oil services
Patterson-UTI (PTEN)... oil services
ION Geophysical (IO)... oil services
Helmerich & Payne (HP)... oil services
Hornbeck Offshore (HOS)... oil services
Hercules Offshore (HERO)... oil services
Key Energy Services (KEG)... oil services
Gulf Island Fabrication (GIFI)... oil services
Corn, Soybeans, Crude oil, Natural gas, Ethanol, Propane, Cocoa

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK


CBS (CBS)... media
AIG (AIG)... insurance
Nokia (NOK)... cell phones
News Corp (NWS)... media
Carnival (CCL)... cruise line
Reynolds (RAI)... cigarettes
Sears Holdings (SHLD)... retail
General Motors (GM)... automobiles
Imperial Tobacco (ITY)... cigarettes
General Electric (GE)... conglomerate
Merck (MRK)... Big Pharma
Sirius (SIRI)... satellite radio
XM Radio (XMSR)... satellite radio
IRSA (IRS)... Argentine real estate
Banco Macro (BMA)... Argentine bank
Tran Gas Del Sur (TGS)... Argentine utility
Telecom Argentina (TEO)... Argentine telecom
Whole Foods (WFMI)... expensive groceries
China Southern Air (ZNH)... China's largest air carrier
Almost every bank you can think of
Almost every newspaper publisher you can think of
Livestock farmers and meat producers across the country have been dealing with soaring feed costs for nearly two years. Now, heavy flooding in Iowa is sending corn prices even higher. Thursday, the corn futures contract for July delivery closed at $7.27 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade, up about 13% from two weeks ago.

The floodwaters, grain prices, worried Wall Street debt raters and sticker-shocked consumers have combined in recent days to slice millions of dollars in value from shares of protein giants such as Smithfield Foods Inc., Tyson Foods Inc. and Pilgrim's Pride Corp.

Tyson shares perked up Thursday after BMO Capital, noting the recent slide, called the company "our favorite ag/protein idea." Tyson shares were up 5.8% at $14.47 in 4 p.m. New York Stock Exchange composite trading.

Although meat prices have been climbing of late, the meatpackers and the farmers who supply them haven't been able to offset the huge increase in grain expenses. That is being exacerbated by expected crop losses from flooding and harsh weather.

– Wall Street Journal

For consumers feeling the pinch of higher food prices, the flooding of prime Midwest farmland will bring more bad news in supermarkets through next year.

By wiping out corn and soybean crops across Iowa, Illinois and other states, the flood is driving up prices that were already at historic highs and increasing the cost of feed for cattle, hogs and poultry.

"I have no choice: going broke or increase prices," said Heinz Kramer, who expects to have to charge more for the pork and beef that he processes at a family-owned company in La Porte City.

Pork prices could be up as much as 30 percent next year because of production cutbacks, said John Lawrence, an economist at Iowa State University. Prices of beef and poultry products are likely to be at least 10 percent higher by the end of this year, he said.
– Des Moines Register

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