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There's Never Been a Better Time to Be an Income Investor
By Tom Dyson
July 23, 2008

I screen the market several times a week for high-yield stocks. My search usually brings up around 75 companies with high yields.
 
But this year, that all changed...
 
Now my searches routinely bring up four times as many results. Yesterday, I screened the market for stocks with dividend yields above 7%, and my search returned 412 results.
 
Thanks to a 25% fall in the S&P, which started last October, the market is stuffed with high-yield stocks right now. That's because stock prices have fallen, but the dividends American companies pay, in general, have not.
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I found dozens of stocks with yields over 20%... and even some with yields of 38%, 44%, or even 46%!

Of course, most of these high-yield stocks are garbage... Usually a high dividend yield is a warning flag. Like the high interest rate on a junk bond. It means the company is likely to cut its dividend... or even go out of business. But sometimes you find diamonds.

Yesterday, I was analyzing a stock with a 19.5% dividend yield. This company just raised its dividend. It was 2% higher than the previous quarter's payout.

A good accountant can fudge 99% of the figures on a balance sheet or profit statement.

I spent the best part of five years putting together accounting statements for Citigroup by day and attending professional accounting classes by night, so I know.

Sales can be carried forward, costs can be taken off balance sheet, assets can be written down. Even warehouse inventories can be fudged. Accountants can choose to value inventories on a first-in, first-out basis or a first-in, last-out basis. It can make a big difference, but both methods are legal.

There's only one untouchable number in the corporate accounts: the dividend. Once it's paid, a dividend is a fact. When companies pay dividends, they mail out checks to every shareholder. The money leaves the bank and never comes back. There are no accounting standards involved.

As they say, "dividends don't lie."

Except for looking up its dividend history, I haven't done any research into the company that's paying out 19.5%. So the reality is, I don't know if this company is a diamond or a piece of junk that pays its dividend with borrowed money.

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It's easy to tell if a company uses borrowed money to pay its dividend. Look at the company's earnings. Do they cover the dividend? If not, the company is using debt to make the payment.

The point is, when you sift through the highest yielding stocks in the market right now, you're going to come up with a lot of garbage... but you'll also find plenty of excellent companies with solid businesses. Buy these companies, and you'll receive large dividend checks – possibly as high as 25% a year – every quarter for the rest of your life...

In the meantime, I'll try to figure out the problem with the 19.5% dividend.

Good investing,

Tom

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THIS STOCK WILL SOAR HUNDREDS OF PERCENT SOMEDAY

Times aren't tough in the banking sector alone... just ask TINY.

TINY is the ticker symbol of Harris & Harris, our favorite way to track the market's opinion of nanotechnology.

Nanotech is the manipulation of matter on an atomic scale. It promises awesome scientific advances... like eradicating disease, building skyscrapers from junk heaps, and manufacturing stain-proof trousers. TINY is a pure play on these promises.

TINY is a lot like a nanotech mutual fund. It doesn't produce any nanowidgets or nanobots itself. It invests in and advises small nanotech businesses. As you can see from today's chart, the market doesn't care much for nanotech promises right now. TINY is scraping multiyear lows... and is down more than 60% from its 2007 high.

We're sure this stock will soar hundreds of percent when investors warm up to the nanotech sector. This story is too good not to produce a mania. But right now, investors are more concerned with making the mortgage payment.

Harris & Harris Group, Inc.

Stocks in China and India offer "good bargains" after benchmark indexes in the nations declined more than any other major market this year, Templeton Asset Management Ltd.'s Mark Mobius said.

"We've been rearranging the portfolio based on valuations, which have come down pretty dramatically in places like India and China," Mobius, who oversees about $47 billion of emerging-market equities as executive chairman of Templeton, said in an interview from Toronto. "There've been big declines."

Mobius joins investor Jim Rogers in favoring Chinese stocks after they plunged 46 percent this year.

China and India, the two most populous nations, are the worst performers among the world's 20 largest stock markets as soaring raw material prices and slowing economic growth weigh on profits.

Bloomberg

Caterpillar's second-quarter profit jumped 34% on record sales, beating Wall Street expectations. Strong international sales outpaced higher raw material and freight costs for the maker of tractors, backhoes and other heavy equipment.

The company reported Tuesday profit of $1.11 billion, or $1.74 a share, for the three months ended June 30, compared with $823 million, or $1.24 a share, a year earlier.

Quarterly revenue rose 20% to $13.62 billion from $11.36 billion, with sales shifting outside North America. Caterpillar generated 60% of quarterly sales and revenues outside North America, up from 55% last year.
– USA Today

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