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The Next Dot-Com Sector
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
June 11, 2007

Earlier last week in Iceland, our group of 50 True Wealth subscribers visited a "clean-energy" power plant.

Truth be told, we weren't even supposed to go there... My original plan fell apart.

I was a bit concerned about this backup plan... Who wants to go to a power plant?

But "clean energy" is a billion-dollar buzzword these days. And this place – Nesvajallir – is as "clean energy" as it gets. Nesvajallir provides electricity AND hot water to the capital city of Reykjavik and the surrounding area.

A word or two about this power plant... Nesvajallir sits right on top of a split in the Earth. The building is literally being pulled apart two centimeters a year. Apparently, half of the building is on the American Plate and half is on the Eurasian Plate. The building has expansion joints and large cracks at these points. Here's how the place operates...

Steam rises from the ground. Nesvajllir first uses the fiery hot steam to create clean electricity. The steam can then be reused, as it's still unbelievably hot. So next, it is used to heat pure water coming off of the glacier. Then, thanks to gravity, huge insulated pipes take the hot water 17 miles into Reykjavik. It reaches Reykjavik at 86 degrees Celsius, which is 186 degrees Fahrenheit. The hot tap water scalds a few unsuspecting kids and tourists each year.

Surprisingly, we didn't see a single employee at the plant, outside of the woman giving us the tour. The thing runs itself, and it's spotless. Also for the greenies, it hard to believe it, but it emits significantly less carbon dioxide than even wind power, apparently. It's all quite a feat.

Since this was a "clean energy" power plant, many folks were very interested. And later in the week, our group had a presentation from a "clean energy investment company." I came here interested in bonds, because of their extraordinary profit potential. Many in the group, however, only perked up when the six-foot, blond-haired, blue-eyed Icelandic girl appeared... She gave a speech on her clean energy company.

"We just raised $100 million in May, but we've spent it already," she told the crowd.

"Tell us more," you could see in the crowd's faces.

"We won a contract in the Philippines..." she went on.

"Of course she did," I thought. She had $100 million of other people's money to spend. No wonder the money is gone. But this didn't deter investors...

"How can we invest in your company?" many wanted to know. I had no interest in this investment. Surprisingly, not a single person asked HOW they'll make money, or even IF they'll make money. Actually, scratch that, one person from the back asked "Are you profitable?" You can guess the answer... She batted her eyes, winked, and said "not yet."

I felt I was experiencing the dot-com mania all over again. Nobody cared when the company might make money. Even if the company eventually makes money, it still doesn't mean the investors will make money. Yet she could have accepted seven figures in checks right there.

"When can we get in on your next round of money raising?" people asked her. I couldn't believe it. She just told us they spent $100 million in a month, without any profit to show for it. Why would you give them more?

Because clean energy is the new dot-com. You don't bother with things like profits when you're changing the world, I guess.

If you're bold, one way you can play this trend is through the WilderHill Clean Energy Powershares ETF (PBW). If clean energy turns out like the dot-coms, this fund could soar, until it crashes. Like the dot-coms, we can't say how high it will soar, or how far it will crash.

If you're bold, you can give it a shot. Just don't get sucked into the hype and risk losing all your money. Make sure you use a trailing stop... so you could ride it up and get off on the way down...

Good investing from (finally) sunny Iceland,

Steve

Editor's note: Steve Sjuggerud is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Steve Sjuggerud.

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NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Suncor (SU)... oil sands
Apple (AAPL)... computers and iPods
Amazon (AMZN)... online retail
Nokia (NOK)... cell phones
Google (GOOG)... search engine
Terra Industries (TRA)... agricultural chemicals
Mosaic (MOS)... agricultural chemicals
CF Industries (CF)... agricultural chemicals
Anheuser-Busch (BUD)... agricultural chemicals
BHP Billiton (BHP)... diversified commodities
Teck Cominco (TCK)... diversified commodities
Northern Orion (NTO)... copper and gold
National-Oilwell Varco (NOV)... America's largest oil rig maker
ExxonMobil (XOM)... America's largest oil rig operator
Transocean (RIG)... America's largest offshore oil driller
Tidewater Inc. (TDW)... America's largest offshore oil rig supporter
Fluor (FLR)... energy infrastructure
Foster Wheeler (FLWT)... energy infrastructure
Jacobs Engineering (JEC)... energy infrastructure

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Travelzoo (TZOO)... online travel
VeraSun Energy (VSE)... ethanol producer
Starbucks (SBUX)... coffee shops
Genentech (DNA)... biotech
JDS Uniphase (JDSU)... networking
Hovnanian (HOV)... homebuilder
Pulte Homes (PHM)... homebuilder
Standard Pacific (SPF)... homebuilder
Whole Foods (WFMI)... whole paycheck

– Brian Hunt

When the high price of crude oil turns out to be a boon to farmers and fertilizer salesmen, you can say with a certain confidence that these are different times we live in.

That's what's happening as demand for corn, a key ingredient in the production of ethanol, continues to push up shares of leading agricultural and fertilizer stocks.

U.S. farmers plan to plant 90.5 million acres of corn this year, according to Department of Agriculture reports. That's a 15% increase from last year. Similar expansions are planned in other countries.

"The high crude and gas prices support ethanol prices, so there are high levels of return," he said.

"Demand for ethanol is going to keep the supply/demand balance for corn very tight over the next few years. You also have all these ethanol plants coming on line, which means production will only increase."

-Investor's Business Daily

Industrial fertilizer and industrial pesticides both owe their existence to the conversion of the World War II munitions industry to civilian uses —nerve gases became pesticides, and ammonium nitrate explosives became nitrogen fertilizers.

-Michael Pollan,
The Omnivore's Dilemma

It takes natural gas to produce nitrogen fertilizers. High natural-gas prices have driven most U.S. producers out of the business, leaving nitrogen fertilizer production to countries such as Trinidad and Tobago, Russia and, surprise, Saudi Arabia.

The U.S. Geological Survey calculates that in 2005 the United States imported 21% of the urea it turns into nitrogen fertilizer from Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

-Jim Jubak,
MSN Money

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