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Where We Get Our Ideas... and
How We Follow 'em

By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
December 22, 2007

"So... where do you come up with your investment ideas?"

I never have a good answer for this question. I'm not sure what people are even looking to hear... 

My Magic 8-Ball?  A secret website?  A guy on the inside at a big hedge fund?  Those things would all fail you sooner than later.

The truth is, I read a lot, looking for a little tiny nugget of something... a little road to go down and research. And then I dig... 

When I'm on the trail of something new, whether it's Icelandic bonds, rare coins, timberland in Argentina, or something a little more straight-ahead, I don't have a specific process... I simply learn as much as I can, and then I get on a plane and go talk to the experts.

But that doesn't answer where the idea comes from in the first place... My investment ideas simply come from reading and thinking actively about what I read, trying to find an investment angle.

Today, in our final regular edition of 2007, I thought I'd share with you where I get my ideas and how I follow them. I'll stick with things that are either free or very inexpensive, so you can use them and get your money's worth out of them. (We have outrageously expensive tools at our fingertips in the office... including Thomson Datastream and a Bloomberg Terminal... but at home you don't need these.)

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I know that, when I don't have any good investment ideas, it simply means that I'm not up on my reading. Reading is cheap. Here's what I read: 

Investor news: No surprises here... I read the Financial Times (www.ft.com, the world's best financial newspaper), I thumb through The Wall Street Journal (www.wsj.com), and Bloomberg. Most everything here is free online. If I could read just one financial magazine each month, it would be the Economist. I also like Barron's, Forbes, Fortune, and one you probably haven't read, but should: Bloomberg Markets.

Stock charts: For quick stock charts, we actually use www.stockcharts.com and www.yahoofinance.com. We have the fancy tools, but these freebies are quick. We use stockcharts.com for most of the charts in DailyWealth. This site offers a ton of technical indicators, if you're into them. Also, we've been using a beta version of www.xlcharts.com for more complicated charting.

Stock Data: To quickly look up price history for a stock and balance-sheet information, once again, we use Yahoo. Ten years ago, this info would have cost you tens of thousands of dollars a year. I probably use Yahoo Finance more than any other site. Sometimes, you've got to double-check the balance sheet data though.

When I'm doing detailed historical research, I'll use the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' website http://stlouisfed.org/default.cfm. If it's not there for free, it's probably at www.globalfindata.com for a reasonable cost.

Precious metals: For precious metals investors, www.kitco.com provides the most detailed news and commentary on gold and silver. It occasionally features essays by your DailyWealth editors as well. My colleague Matt Badiali writes a great precious metals advisory called the S&A Prospector. Casey Research and John Doody's Gold Stock Analyst also do excellent work on metals and mining stock analysis.

ETFs: For information on exchange-traded funds, I use www.etfconnect.com. It's the most comprehensive free ETF database out there. You can use its "Fund Sorter" to search for just about any kind of ETF.

Foreign stocks: To look up foreign stocks, you can use www.adr.com. ADR stands for "American Depository Receipt." They are simply foreign stocks traded on the U.S. exchange. This site also has nice search function. For instance, let's say you want to invest in Argentina. You can use its screen to find every Argentine stock traded here in the States.

Independent stock research: There's an incredible amount of independent research out there. Of course, I'm biased toward my publisher, Stansberry & Associates Investment Research. I can only tell you that if Stansberry wasn't my publisher, I would still subscribe to its publications. Morningstar and Value Line are also worth the price.

Trailing stop services: Tracking your stops can be a pain... but I've found two excellent ways to keep track of them – TradeStops and XLQ.

www.tradestops.com was actually started by a True Wealth subscriber with a Ph.D. in math, Richard Smith. It's a simple, web-based way to track your stops. It sends you an e-mail when one of your stops is hit. Couldn't get much easier. You ought to give it a try.

XLQ is a full-blown Excel interface that automatically brings stock quotes and company data into an excel spreadsheet for you. With XLQCompanion, you can easily track your stops. It is free to try for 45 days. Visit www.qmatix.com for details. Leo, the creator of QMatix, is very helpful. Both Richard and Leo do a great job.

That's a lot to keep you busy next year, and a lot of things to check out. The Internet revolution has given us an absolutely amazing amount of free (or inexpensive) stuff to help us with our investments.

But keep in mind... you certainly don't need all of this stuff to be a successful investor next year. I use it all because I love to do research and write about great investments to my readers.

I hope you'll stick around and read DailyWealth to learn what we find in 2008.

Good investing,

Steve

P.S. Just a reminder... beginning on Monday, December 24, DailyWealth's publisher Stansberry & Associates will feature the Twelve Days of Christmas in place of your regular DailyWealth edition. We will return to our normal format on January 7. We think you'll enjoy this special holiday series. Look for it on Monday.

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Year-to-date return of the Market Vectors Steel ETF, a basket of the world's largest iron ore and steel producers. It is the best-performing U.S.-traded ETF in the world this year.

The Secret Behind the World's Richest Family

What do rich people do when stocks and real estate get risky?

Many of the world's wealthiest families (such as the DuPonts, Morgans, Adams) use a secret form of currency, which was outlawed by the government for 41 years, but is now legal again.

In fact, this "Secret Currency" was the foundation of the richest family in world history.

Click here for report, which explains all the details... and details how you can use it to safely make a fortune today...

One of the Best Contrarian
Bets of 2008

By Tom Dyson

December 21, 2007

Lawrence's portfolio made the same profit every day... about $30,000. There was no volatility, no surprises, and no arguments. His book always generated about $30,000... every day. On Mondays, the profit would triple... to $90,000... because Lawrence's book even cranked out profit over the weekend.

Read On...

Three-Year Interest-Free Credit
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud

December 20, 2007

I'll show you how you can own an investment-grade portfolio on credit for three years. Interest free... In a way, it's like buying a $100,000 portfolio for $85,000 today... Said another way, with no interest for three years, it's like buying in at a 15% discount.

Read On...

Banking Crisis Creates 10% Dividend Opportunity
By Tom Dyson

December 19, 2007

The thrift president had just called up Salomon Brothers. He was desperate to sell Salomon Brothers $100 million worth of bonds... The Salomon trader knew the president was desperate. So he offered to buy the bonds for only $75 million. The president agreed.

Steve DeLaney's Bold Call: Safe 28% Dividends Over Two Years
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud

December 18, 2007

When the cycle is right, you can make hundreds of percent returns in virtual banks. After many years of the cycle being wrong, the cycle is now right... once again...

Read On...

This Investment Goes Up When Everything Else Goes Down
By Tom Dyson

December 17, 2007

First, a riddle: This asset is popular when all other assets are going down... The market for this asset is the most liquid in the world... Although every person in America owns this asset and wants more, it's less popular than it has ever been before.

What is it?

Read On...

The Secret Behind the World's Richest Family

What do rich people do when stocks and real estate get risky?

Many of the world's wealthiest families (such as the DuPonts, Morgans, Adams) use a secret form of currency, which was outlawed by the government for 41 years, but is now legal again.

In fact, this "Secret Currency" was the foundation of the richest family in world history.

Click here for report, which explains all the details... and details how you can use it to safely make a fortune today...

THE CHART OF THE YEAR: 2007

Today is our final Chart of the Week in 2007... so we thought we'd go ahead and make 'er the Chart of the Year.

Australia iShares

The chart book of 2007 will contain the collapse of America's largest mortgage company Countrywide Financial... the decline of the U.S. dollar... the leaping Volatility Index (showing a huge increase in investor fear)... soaring agriculture prices... and a picture of the China mania with the Shanghai Composite.

We think all of those charts are impressive... but have to select one of the most important asset moves of the past 20 years... the 50% rise in the price of crude oil.

Oil in its various forms has been used for thousands of years in the Middle East for ship caulking, building mortar, and medicine. It was an essential ingredient in the brutal Byzantine weapon of Greek fire. It has brought thousands of boomtowns to Russia, Texas, Iran, Indonesia, Libya, Canada, Norway, Brazil, and Mexico. It is the foundation of the most valuable "company" on Earth, Saudi Aramco. There isn't a thing in the average human's life that isn't impacted by oil these days.

Our chart of the year is great news for the oil sellers: Russia, Canada, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela. It is bad news for the oil buyers: U.S., Japan, and China. Wherever you call home, it's the Chart of the Year.

– Brian Hunt

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