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The Ultimate China Play, from the 17%-a-year Man
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
April 30, 2007

You may not know the name Marty Whitman. But he is an absolute legend among investment managers…

His main fund, the Third Avenue Value Fund, has averaged 17% a year since it's inception in 1990. That performance is similar to another investment legend over that same period… a legend named Warren Buffett.

Marty's biggest holding is in a stock I recommended to Sjuggerud Confidential subscribers just over a year ago – it's called Cheung Kong. It is the best overall China play I know.

Sjuggerud Confidential subscribers are up about 30% so far in Cheung Kong. 

Marty has now placed his biggest bet on it. And I like it, too.

Most Americans have never heard of Li Ka-Shing, the founder of Cheung Kong... but he's Asia's richest man. He's also Chinese…

The play with Cheung Kong is not complicated. To make money in China, you want to own businesses that do something for China that it can't do on its own.

Li Ka-Shing builds what China needs: real estate, ports, infrastructure, telecom, and more. He's incredibly smart, he's got access to big money, and he's got the Chinese connections to get the contracts.

The portfolio of assets he's put together over the last 35 years would be extremely difficult to replicate. Quite frankly, it's extraordinary.

His story is exceptional as well… Li Ka-Shing was born in the Chinese coastal city of Chiu Chow. At age 12, Li had to take responsibility for the family after his father died. Li left school to work in a plastics factory, at times putting in 16-hour days.

Eventually he started his own plastics company, Cheung Kong Industries. It grew quickly and expanded into real estate. Li Ka-Shing took the company public in 1972, and acquired major companies, like Hutchison Whampoa and Hongkong Electric.

Today, Li Ka-Shing's companies make up 8% of the entire Hong Kong Stock Exchange. He's come a long way from the plastics factory. One of his businesses actually controls the Panama Canal (yes, it's Chinese controlled now).

And, Li Ka-Shing's presence in Shanghai is towering. He controls the ports. He's built all kinds of real estate — commercial, residential, office space, you name it...

In short, Li is building what China needs. They say about one of every 12 residences in Hong Kong was developed by Cheung Kong.

Now, Li Ka-Shing is taking his formula to the mainland.

A year ago, I recommended buying his stock. Now, it turns out, one of the world's great investors has put more chips on that stock than any other. For the best long-term play on China, maybe you should look into Cheung Kong, too…

Good investing,

Steve

Editor's note: Steve Sjuggerud is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Steve Sjuggerud.

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NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Apple (AAPL)… computers and iPods
McKesson (MCK)… health care giant
Schering-Plough (SGP)… Big Pharma
Merck (MRK)… Big Pharma
Monsanto (MON)… agriculture
Agrium (AGU)… agriculture
CF Industries (CF)… agriculture
Dril-Quip (DRQ)… oil services
GulfMark Offshore (GMRK)… oil services
Atwood Oceanics (ATW)… oil services
Hydril (HYDL)… oil services
Martin Midstream (MMLP)… oil & gas pipelines
Buckeye Partners (BPL)… oil & gas pipelines
Energy Transfer Partners (EPT)… oil & gas pipelines
Pike Electric (PEC)… electricity infrastructure
Quanta Services (PWR)… electricity infrastructure
Goldman Sachs (GS)… getting a small piece of every hedge fund
Cummins (CMI)… makes the engines for mining equipment
Bucyrus International (BUCY)… makes mining equipment
Kennametal (KMT)… makes tools for mining equipment
Cleveland Cliffs (CLF)… uses mining equipment to produce iron ore
POSCO (PKX)… uses iron ore to produce steel
Foster Wheeler (FWLT)… uses steel to build refineries and chemical plants
ExxonMobil (XOM)… uses refineries to produce the fuel that runs engines
Schnitzer Steel (SCHN)… processes the scrap steel when it's all over

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Ballard Power (BLDP)… fuel cells
Southwest Airlines (LUV)… airlines
Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI)… satellite radio
Sugar, Coffee, Lumber

– Brian Hunt

Exxon Mobil Corp., the world's biggest oil company, said earnings climbed 10 percent to a first-quarter record after rising gasoline and diesel prices increased refining profits.

Exxon Mobil pumps more oil than every member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries except Saudi Arabia and Iran. The company's annual sales exceed the gross domestic products of most of the world's nations, including Norway, Poland and Argentina.

Cash holdings at Exxon Mobil swelled to $34.6 billion at the end of the quarter, almost four times total debt. The company spent $7 billion on share buybacks and distributed $1.8 billion in dividends during the quarter.

- Bloomberg

"Exxon Mobil is not a fun place to work," says Fadel Gheit, the Oppenheimer & Co. oil industry analyst widely considered Wall Street's best. "They're not in the fun business," he explains. "They're in the profit business."

Remember that. It means that Exxon understands the essence of capitalism: earning a return on capital that exceeds the cost of that capital.

At this supremely important job, it is a world champion. All the major oil companies bear about the same capital cost, just over 6%. But Exxon earns a return that trounces its competitors.

- Fortune

New York City Mike Bloomberg says he wants to copy an antipoverty program that's currently used in Mexico. He wants to use it here. Apparently, Mexico has a great antipoverty program – it's called a bus ticket to Los Angeles.

- Conan O'Brien

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