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Simply Extraordinary
by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud; From Paris

September 19, 2006

Last night, I went to what may be the world’s most prestigious antiques and collectibles fair, which is held once every two years in Paris. Salvador Dali once brought a live rhinoceros here… The rhino, supported by a huge crane, crushed a bust of Voltaire that was filled with milk.

Calling this event an “antiques fair” is a severe injustice. It was like walking around the nicest museum I’d ever been to… only everything was for sale. I hear dealers spend between $40,000 and $50,000 on their booths alone. Of course, a dealer may sell off a year’s worth of inventory in a day.

It was (and is) a spectacle like I’ve never seen. Even the glass roofed building – the Grand Palais built for a world expo in 1900 – was incredible.

Finding good deals in “traditional” investments is tough nowadays. Stocks, bonds, and real estate are all expensive. So in the last few years, I’ve been studying (and buying) collectibles and antiques. But from what I’ve seen of this fair, I can tell you, without a doubt, the collectibles and antiques market is going strong.

Once the sun went down, the place started bustling. It amazed me how close you could get to all the items for sale.

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I don’t know what the credit limit on my credit card is. But I’m sure I couldn’t have bought a single thing at the show!

The first “room” I visited was the “Galarie de Jonckheere.” Every painting in the room was from the 1600s and Dutch, it seemed. And they were all just fantastic. Rich colors, highly detailed, and, of course, lit perfectly.

There were no price tags. I was curious what things cost. So I picked out a medium sized painting on the wall (maybe 16” x 24”) and I asked Georges de Jonckheere for the price.

“Six hundred,” he replied. He was talking in euros – thousands of euros. 600,000 euros is roughly $750,000 dollars... for an average painting!

Another room had medieval-looking pieces. One was simply labeled “Corninthian helmet.” Its price tag read. “380,000 euros” That’s nearly $500,000 dollars.

Another room had old roman statues. I asked after the price of an average one. It was $600,000 dollars.

Then we went to an area with antique diamonds. My friend Mike inquired about one necklace. “One million euros” was the reply – which is one-and-a-quarter million dollars.

Americans apparently make up about 50% of the buyers. It’s a chance for Americans to visit the best dealers in Europe, all under one roof.

The show was top-notch. Over 100 high-end dealers exhibited 7,000 extraordinary pieces of history in one of the most beautiful buildings I’ve ever been in.

I have been studying prices of antiques and collectibles for a few years now. I see supply relentlessly dwindling, while demand keeps coming. As regular readers already know, I believe collectibles and antiques will do well for the rest of this decade, at least.

But I never imagined I’d see a show like this. I’m glad I did. It’s obvious to me that the collectible and antiques market is alive and well.

If you’re in Paris in the next week, you must stop in. www.biennaledesantiquaires.com Nothing else in the world compares. It’s simply extraordinary.

Good investing,

Steve

Third Time Lucky?

On Friday, Ford Motor Co. announced its third turnaround attempt in five years.

In the press release, Ford announced 44,000 job cuts, and said it wouldn’t be profitable in North America until 2009 – a year behind schedule - and admitted that it couldn’t compete with Toyota. They also suspended the dividend and revealed two more factories would be closed. Ford already has fourteen factories listed for closure.

Betting on recovery has built great fortunes for speculators in the past...

If you’d bought Chrysler in 1982 after the crisis and held for five years, you would have made thirty-two times your money.

Lockheed Martin sold for $1 in 1973. After the government announced a bailout in 1977, you could have bought in for $4. And by 1986, you could have sold it for $60.

After the meltdown at the nuclear reactor on Three-Mile Island in 1979, you could have bought General Public Utility stock for just over $3 in 1980. The stock hit $38 in October 1988.

Is Ford a turnaround candidate or will it fall to zero? Wall Street voted on Friday. They knocked 15% off Ford’s stock price...

-Tom Dyson


“Asia now receives 27 percent of Africa's exports, tripling the amount in 1990 and almost on par with Africa's exports to the Untied States and the European Union, Africa's traditional trading partners.

Meanwhile, Asians exports to Africa are growing 18 percent per year, faster than to any other regions in the world. Investment from China and India into poor African countries are also picking up.”

-Inter Press Service (Johannesburg)

“The best story for commodities, in my view, is the emerging partnership between Africa and China. Africa sells natural resources at high prices to China but buys consumer products at low prices from China. China can also build up infrastructure in Africa cheaply. This relationship vastly improves Africa's terms of trade.”
-Andy Xie, Morgan Stanley

“For years, everyone from politicians on both sides of the aisle to corporate execs to your Aunt Tilly have justifiably bemoaned American health care -the out-of-control costs, the vast inefficiencies, the lack of access, and the often inexplicable blunders.

But the very real problems with the health-care system mask a simple fact: Without it the nation's labor market would be in a deep coma. Since 2001, 1.7 million new jobs have been added in the health-care sector, which includes related industries such as pharmaceuticals and health insurance.

Meanwhile, the number of private-sector jobs outside of health care is no higher than it was five years ago.”

-BusinessWeek

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