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A Most Ridiculous Story
by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud

November 15, 2006

Steve Wynn recently poked a hole in a Picasso a few weeks ago…

Wynn was in his office, showing off the masterpiece he agreed to sell just 36 hours before for $139 million, when he accidentally bumped the canvas with his elbow.

Barbara Walters and lawyer David Boies were two of a handful of people in his office at the time. These two are never at a loss for words – and they didn’t know what to say.

“The blood drained out of their faces…” Steve Wynn said of his guests. Wynn had declined many requests to talk about this, until now. It was “the clumsiest and goofiest thing to do… At least I did it myself.”

More ridiculous might the story of the painting… and the buyer who agreed to pay $139 million for a single painting…

The $139 million would have been the highest amount ever paid for a painting, if Wynn hadn’t bumped it. The buyer would have been Steve Cohen.

You may not know the name Steve Cohen. But you should…

Steve Cohen is probably worth $3 billion (according to the Wall Street Journal). He got there by trading stocks. The hedge fund he launched in 1992 (again, according to the Journal) “has generated an average annual return to investors of 43.5%, after he takes a sizable cut of profits.”

What’s Steve doing with his own money? Well, he’s put a billion dollars into high-end collectibles, namely art, like this Picasso. Let me repeat that: One of the world’s greatest stock traders is putting his money into high-end collectibles, not stocks.

I’ve been writing about (and personally buying) collectibles for a few years now. I think they’re one of the last cheap great asset classes. Consider this chart of the PCGS 3000 Index (of 3,000 rare coins) – it’s down by two-thirds from its peak, and trading at the same levels it was more than 20 years ago:

Steve Wynn paid $48.7 million for the Picasso in 1997 – so he’s not doing too badly. Selling it for $139 million would have been a compound gain of more than 12% a year.

But the more ridiculous part of the story is not that Steve Wynn put his elbow through the painting… It’s that the world’s greatest trader thinks $139 million for the Picasso is a good deal.

I’ve said for two or three years now, collectibles are the last cheap asset class. It seems I’m in good company in this belief.

Good investing,

Steve

Editor's note: Steve Sjuggerud is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Steve Sjuggerud.

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WERE YOU IN ON CLARK’S PERFECT CALL?

Speaking of fine art, we think Jeff Clark may have the good lord advising him on his trades…

Last week, Jeff devoted a column of his free e-letter, the Growth Stock Wire, to the impending decline of fine art auctioneer Sotheby’s (BID). After doubling in share price this year, Sotheby’s had a huge amount of optimism surrounding last week’s earnings release. Optimism Jeff warned us about:

Sotheby’s is scheduled to announce earnings after the market closes on Wednesday. Clearly, expectations are high… as many investors familiar with the art community believe business can’t possibly get better. Of course, once business can’t possibly get any better, it can only get worse.

Cautious investors might want to put a few of their shares on the auction block.

As Jeff predicted, selling Sotheby’s shares was a great idea. The auctioneer plunged 18% after earnings failed to meet expectations. If you’re not reading the Growth Stock Wire, you’re missing out on some of the best market commentary in the world. Click here to read Jeff’s prescient call on Sotheby’s.

-Brian Hunt

“Nato advisers have warned the military alliance that it needs to guard against any attempt by Russia to set up an “Opec for gas” that would strengthen Moscow’s leverage over Europe.

A confidential study by Nato economics experts, sent to the ambassadors of its 26 member states last week, warned that Russia may be seeking to build a gas cartel including Algeria, Qatar, Libya, the countries of Central Asia and perhaps Iran.”

-Financial Times

“The third-richest man in China has bought an $800m stake in resources group Anglo American held by the Oppenheimer dynasty, a landmark deal in China’s aggressive acquisition of African resources.

The surprise sale highlighted China’s appetite for resources in Africa. It followed Beijing’s hosting of a summit for 48 African countries last week.”

-Financial Times

“Anglo-American owns 40% of DeBeers, which, among other things, is the world's largest diamond producer.

The talk is that Mr. Yung might want to take over all of Anglo-American.

Diamonds are selling big-time in China, and it strikes me that Mr. Yung didn't get to be a billionaire by being stupid.”

-Richard Russell,
Dow Theory Letters

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