DailyWealth Investment Newsletter  

About DailyWealth Premium Content DailyWealth Archive
DailyWealth Investment Newsletter DailyWealth Contributors DailyWealth Resources DailyWealth Market Window
 
DailyWealth Print Edition Print Edition | Sponsored Link:
True Wealth Login

A $20 Million Pile of Gold… In Iowa
by Tom Dyson

November 7, 2006

A semi pulled into the plant. Workers weighed it on a scale and then the driver pulled up over a metal grate. He jumped from his cab and opened the sluice gates underneath the trailer. A solid stream of gold splashed onto the metal bars.

I was there for an hour. Twenty trucks came and went during this time.

The wind was blowing 40 miles an hour and burning my ears. Corn chaff was swirling in my face and making me squint. The air smelled like a brewery but felt like a Colorado blizzard.

Check out this picture. It’s the plant’s corn supply. This pile of corn is worth twenty million dollars and will need to last until the next harvest.

This picture is from my trip to Sioux County, Iowa last week. Sioux County is the fourth largest hog- and the second largest cattle-producing county in America. Corn appears to grow on over 90% of the land and everybody that lives here is involved, one way or another, with corn.

You could say – in Sioux County – corn is the currency.

The picture above came from an ethanol factory. From now until Thanksgiving, it will be mayhem at the ethanol plant. It’s harvest time and farmers are bringing in the crop. The people at the plant were so busy, they didn’t have time to show us around. They told us to sign ourselves in, grab a helmet, and look around on our own!

The plant buys millions and millions of bushels of corn at harvest time every year. The corn is cleaned, threshed, dusted, and stored in a sandbox the size of a football field. In the picture above, you can only see one fifth of the pile. Most of the corn is packed under plastic tarpaulins to the right of the picture.

They won’t buy any more corn until next year’s harvest. So to ensure supply at this critical time of year, ethanol plants typically pay a two-cent premium over the corn price quoted at the local farmers’ co-op.

A few thousand pounds at a time, the corn is run through a basic distilling process. Ethanol is sold to the market. The byproduct - syrup and distillers’ grains – is excellent cattle feed. So the ethanol plant has two feedlots. It buys feeder cattle and fattens them up with the syrupy corn leftover.

Finally, the cows’ manure is turned into fuel and used to power the ethanol plant.

For me, the pile of corn was the most amazing sight. I couldn’t believe that one ethanol plant would soak up so much corn. Yet this pile of corn – gargantuan as it was – was merely a year’s supply!

Then I thought of the ethanol industry. There are 106 ethanol plants operating in the United States today. But according to the Renewable Fuels Association, there are also 48 ethanol plants are under construction and seven plants undergoing expansion.

Ethanol is a profitable commodity to produce. Prices are high right now because of the oil boom. Plus, the state and federal governments subsidize ethanol, so it works out even better for the plants. In some cases, ethanol moguls are doubling their money every year making the stuff.

As you’d expect, many people want to get into the ethanol business. It’s why they’re building so many new plants.

Personally, I wouldn’t touch the ethanol business. It’s too late. I like the corn business much better. The American ethanol industry is going to consume more corn than ever before over the next few years. Now I’ve seen how much corn these plants are chewing through, I’m even more bullish on corn.

The three Sioux County farmers I spoke with are all buying corn, while prices are still cheap. And later this week, I’ll introduce you to Gary. Gary is a crop trader. He’s also buying corn. And he’s advising the farmers he works with to do the same.

Good investing,

Tom

Editor's note: Tom Dyson is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Tom Dyson.

Email a Friend

Delicious
Reddit

Digg

RSS

BEARS, BUFFETT, AND MESSAGE BOARD BULL

Last weekend, your managing editor spent 20 minutes in one of the vast wastelands of the Internet… the Yahoo! stock message boards. I wanted to find out what investors think of Wal-Mart.

Market wizards, such as secretposter101, stoxinsider, and madmilker60, summed up the general sentiment towards the world’s No. 1 retailer: Wal-Mart’s core customer is under a crushing debt load… he can’t possibly buy anymore Chinese “crap”… and an American recession will send Wal-Mart’s stock price to the basement.

The bears should let Warren Buffett in on the impending retail doom. His Berkshire Hathaway owns nearly 20 million shares of Wal-Mart. Berkshire also recently purchased a ton of stock in Wal-Mart’s main competitor, Target.

Buffett obviously believes the American consumer is healthier than anyone gives him credit for. The DailyWealth take? We’ll side with the greatest investor in history. Best of luck to madmilker60 and the rest of the blockheads.

Buffett bets on a Wal-Mart breakout (10-yr chart):

-Brian Hunt

“I'm looking at a list of the 25 largest circulation newspapers in the nation. Only two papers have circulations of over one million, USA Today and the Wall Street Journal.

Of the 25 papers, 22 have lost circulation over the last six months. Only three papers have actually gained circulation; they are the St. Louis Dispatch up 0.7%, the New York Post up 5.1% and the New York Daily News up 1.0%. Both New York papers are tabloids.”

-Richard Russell,
Dow Theory Letters

“Warren Buffett, by many accounts the smartest investor anywhere, has long been a fan of the newspaper business.

He has owned the Buffalo News in New York state for years and has an 18 percent stake in Washington Post Co., which publishes the biggest newspaper in the U.S. capital.

Buffett, 76, could help solve the well-publicized problems of major U.S. newspapers by having his Berkshire Hathaway Inc. conglomerate buy up the big names.

For about $20 billion, Berkshire could buy the New York Times Co., which also owns the Boston Globe; Dow Jones & Co., publisher of the Wall Street Journal; Tribune Co., which owns papers in Los Angeles, Chicago, Baltimore and suburban New York; and the rest of Washington Post.

Buying all four companies might be a stretch, but why not one or three? Becoming a super publisher would also solve one of Buffett's own problems: What to do with the $42 billion in cash Berkshire held as of June 30.”

-David Pauly, Bloomberg

Home | About DailyWealth | Premium Content | DailyWealth Archive | Contributors
DailyWealth Resources | Research Reports | Privacy Policy

Customer Service: 1-888-261-2693 – Copyright 2008 Stansberry & Associates Investment Research. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This e-letter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Stansberry & Associates Investment Research, LLC. 1217 Saint Paul Street, Baltimore MD 21202