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If You’re Not Rich, You’re Not Trying
by Tom Dyson
March 14, 2006

You’ll never guess where I found my latest nugget of investment wisdom…

My wife is the activities director at a local home for the elderly. Knowing how interested in history I am, she suggested I come in this weekend and interview the eldest resident. His name is John, he’s 98 years old and he has a memory like an elephant.

John spent about half an hour telling me about the life he has led. There I was, talking to someone with firsthand experience of the Roaring Twenties! Amazing. It blew my mind. Then he recalled the Great Depression, the war, and the strong economy of the Sixties.

John asked about my job. I told him I look for investment opportunities and I post my research on the Internet. We started talking about the current state of American business and finance. John was well up to date. He knew all about the Internet and the technology boom. He even knew gold was rising.

At one point, I complained that finding good opportunities was “quite difficult at the moment… that nothing was cheap anymore.”

You’re kidding,” he said. “Making money has never been so easy. It’s everywhere. Anyone who’s not getting rich isn’t trying.”

“But I’m talking about investing,” I whined. “The markets are tricky.”

No they’re not. I wasn’t even allowed to own gold. And do you know how hard it was to buy stocks? Even if you knew a broker, he was either a crook or way too expensive to deal with...”

John was right. There’s so much money sloshing around the system right now, how hard could it be to grab some? I live in America for heaven’s sakes.

And when it came to investing, John didn’t have access to mutual funds, ETFs and index investments like we do. He didn’t have online trading platforms and discount brokers to choose from. But he still managed.

My conversation with John filled me with an enormous sense of optimism and I vowed to come back and visit him as soon as can. As we wrapped up our conversation, I asked him if he had any tips for my readers… hoping he’d plug gold or another investment. Unfortunately he didn’t.

Instead, I thought it would be appropriate to conclude this column with another investor who has seen it all, Richard Russell. Russell is 82 years old. He flew on combat missions in WWII. He’s been dealing with the markets for over 50 years and writes a newsletter called Dow Theory Letters. He wrote this on Thursday last week:

I hesitate to write this because it's so ‘early’ in the game, and a lot of what I'm going to say is simply instinct or call it experience. I'm worried that we're seeing the beginning of a world contraction. I'll call it ‘fading inflation and rising interest rates meet debt.’

The action to take, I believe, is what I've been advocating over recent weeks. My choice is to be basically in T-bills and gold bullion. T-bills because the bills are safe and because you're guaranteed to get your money back. Gold because if all goes wrong, gold is real, time-tested wealth.

Strains are beginning to show in the fabric of the world economy. I think its time to get defensive.”

There you have it: investment wisdom from our senior citizens. John and Richard Russell have both seen a lot. John believes it’s never been easier to make money… Russell believes it’s time to be careful with it.

Good investing,

Tom Dyson

Editor's note: Tom Dyson is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Tom Dyson.

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AN IMPORTANT DEADLINE IS APPROACHING…

In our February 14 edition, DailyWealth opened a competition and offered a prize.

To enter this competition, all you have to do is think of the foreign country you’d like to read about - along with a specific investment opportunity that you see unfolding within this country – and send your entry to us via email at whereistom@dailywealth.com.

On March 31st, I will decide the winner. Tom Dyson will then travel to this county, investigate your idea and write it all up in DailyWealth.

The winner of our investment competition will based on the following three criteria, in no particular order:

1) Profit potential
2) Interest as a story
3) The contrarian angle – we only want ideas that no one else is talking about.

As long as we can get Tom a visa to visit the country, there are no boundaries. Africa, Asia, Europe, South America, North America… you decide. Please don’t send him to Baghdad.

Is it beachfront property you’re interested in? A local coal deposit they just discovered? Maybe a country’s stock market has fallen three years in a row and you think a certain stock is a perfect way to play the rebound? We’ll consider anything.

Please include your mailing address with your investment idea, so we can send you the prize if you win.

We look forward to hearing from you…

P.S. The prize is a book called Secrets of Professional Turf Betting, by Robert L. Bacon. It’s a rare book on horse race betting, and it’s considered required reading by several of the world’s greatest speculators. It’s also a handy guide to winning in the financial markets. Copies of this book occasionally pop up on eBay for around $150.

-Brian Hunt


“The low interest rates that helped to boost consumer spending in the U.S. also allowed many emerging-market economies to improve their underlying health, notes Andy Xie, Morgan Stanley's Hong Kong-based economist in a recent report.

Countries from Brazil to Russia paid down debt while countries like South Korea turned budget deficits of the past into surpluses, he says, improving their financial standing dramatically.

If cheap financing is a thing of the past, could it be that the time has finally come to bet against not only U.S. consumers, but also emerging markets, where so many companies prosper by manufacturing the appliances, sweaters and car parts that U.S. households consume so prodigiously?”

-The Wall Street Journal

“The nation's growing thirst for ethanol is leading to a miniboom in plant construction — even far from the Corn Belt, which has been home to most production.

‘It's a little bit of a dot-com atmosphere,’ says John Skelley, president of Arizona Grain, an equity partner in a new ethanol plant being built outside Phoenix.

Thirty-three ethanol plants are under construction, and another eight of the 95 plants in operation are being expanded, the Renewable Fuels Association reports.

About half the new construction began in the year since President Bush signed an energy bill that encourages greater use of ethanol as an ecologically sound fuel additive.”

-USA Today
ETF HYPE REPORT

Investors who have enjoyed the huge gains offered in speculative stock markets like Turkey and Russia are receiving warning signs from the exchange-traded fund (ETF) sector.

For instance, the country-specific Turkish Investment Fund (TKF) is trading at a 23% premium to its underlying assets. Large premiums like this often signal a market is ready for at least a short-term correction.

Where Real Estate Is Cheap Now
March 13, 2006

A Clear Change of a Giant Trend...
March 10, 2006

You're Losing Money In Stocks And You Don’t Even Know It
March 9, 2006

A Double Bargain in the Energy Market
March 8, 2006

The Safest Ways Into China For Americans
March 7, 2006

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