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Your Last Chance At The Secret African Supermarket
by Tom Dyson

July 7, 2006

The Benguela Railway runs 1,300 kilometers from a major Atlantic seaport into the center of Africa. It connects some of Africa’s richest mineral deposits and farmland to the world’s consumers.

Problem is, it hasn’t worked in 20 years. They dynamited the tracks in the 70s during the Angolan civil war.

But what’s this?

Go to Angola today and you’ll notice – in the muddy fields beside the tracks – three tidy little camps have sprung up. They accommodate Chinese railroad workers. They’re rebuilding the railroad... replacing sleepers, bridges and stations. Total cost: $800 million.

$800 million is a lot of money in Angola. But the Angolans aren’t paying for it. The Chinese are.

Not many people realize this, but right now, Chinese engineers and businessmen are crawling all over Africa. They’re trawling for oil and minerals, and at the same time, preparing African markets for Chinese-made goods. The Benguela Railway is just one tiny example. Get this: Africa is China’s number one oil supplier.

According to Business Day, “Angola beat Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest crude oil exporter, as China’s top supplier of the fuel in the first quarter [2006], shipping 6.28-million tons of crude oil compared with the 6.01-million tons supplied by the Middle Eastern state, according to customs data.”

There’s a rumor Sudan has “huge untapped oil reserves.” China has approximately $4 billion invested in Sudan. China also has large positions in Nigeria, Chad, Gabon, and Equatorial Guinea.

According to Le Monde Diplomatique, there are 674 Chinese companies with operations in Africa. In Zambia, Chinese-run farms supply the vegetables sold in Lusaka's street markets. In Botswana, Chinese companies control the construction industry and in Nigeria, a Chinese firm launched Nigeria’s first space satellite.

Nigeria is interesting. I spoke with a Nigerian taxi driver last year. He told me the Nigerian government has established Chinatowns in all of Nigeria’s largest cities. 

I could go on. I have a three page list saved on my computer with all the references to Chinese business in Africa.

It’s not just business. The politicians are involved too.

Last month, Chinese Premier, Wen Jiabao toured seven African countries and signed 71 agreements. In April, Chinese president Hu Jintao visited Morocco, Nigeria and Kenya. And later this year, Beijing will host a huge summit meeting between Chinese and African leaders.

Did you know China recently named President Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe an honorary professor in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing?

It all points to one thing: Africa is finally emerging.

Right now, most investors wouldn’t even risk their spare change in Africa. It’s totally off the investment map. There are no ETFs and few listed stocks. They don’t even have sweatshops there yet. Chaos is the only story the media cares about. And even that doesn’t make the front pages.

This is all good news. It means we can still get in cheap.

Don’t delay though. Africa won’t be a secret for much longer. As it gets harder to procure commodities elsewhere, investors will to look to Africa. It’s what the Chinese are doing. They are tying up supply lines of strategic resources. It’s the only low-hanging fruit left on the planet. And they’re doing it with stealth, getting in there before the crowd finds out.

There is an iShares Africa Fund. The symbol is EZA. I don’t like it. It’s all South African companies. South Africa is too established for my taste. I want the real Africa... countries like Democratic Republic of Congo, Tanzania, Angola, and Nigeria.

To profit from this situation, I recommend you buy the stocks of the small Canadian mining companies that do business in Africa. I think they’ll be future takeover targets for the big global players like BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto.

I’m going to Africa later this year on a research trip. In the meantime, keep reading DailyWealth for more on this story...

Good investing,

Tom

Editor's note: Tom Dyson is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Tom Dyson.

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ANOTHER HIGH IN A LONG BULL MARKET

Last week, we asked DailyWealth subscribers for their opinion on the future of crude oil prices. The majority responded in agreement with legendary investment analyst Marc Faber…

Here’s what Marc recently said about oil:

China's yearly per-capita consumption of oil is 1.7 barrels. U.S. per capita consumption is 27 barrels. Korea's and Japan's are 17 barrels. The U.S. has 740 vehicles per 1,000 people. In China there are three, and in India there's one. Demand is going up, and prices will be much, much higher than they are today.

In other words, if China and India hope to reach even half of the U.S. level of wealth and car ownership, it’s going to take an awful lot of oil and gasoline to get there.

The market agrees with Marc’s bullish case right now. Oil just hit a new high… just the latest in a well-behaved bull market.

-Brian Hunt


“The economy only turns down when the Federal Reserve takes aggressive action to cause a downturn. I think the current pattern of higher interest rates reflects a decision to normalize rates after taking them to abnormally low levels to stave off potential deflation.

When the extent of the housing slowdown becomes apparent, I think the Fed will pause, rather than take rates to a level that threatens an economic downturn.

The only real threat to the economy is an overly aggressive Fed, and not a downturn in the housing market, which won't by itself push the economy down. In fact, it provides an insurance policy against the Fed becoming overly aggressive.”

-Kenneth Heebner, manager of the CGM Realty Fund, as quoted in Real Estate Journal.com

“The cost of owning a small piece of the Big Apple hit a new record - $1.386 million.

That was the average sale price of a Manhattan apartment in April through June - up 6.6% from the first quarter, according to a study by appraisal firm Miller Samuel.

Record bonuses of $21.5 billion at Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers and other firms had boosted apartment prices during the first quarter. But their impact was even more dramatic in the second quarter, he said.

Thanks to the purchasing power of the masters of the universe, the average price per square foot also hit a record high at $1,083. The median apartment price also hit a record at $880,000.”

-New York Daily News

It’s Finally Time to Speculate in Tech Stocks Again
July 06, 2006

These Are For Protection Only
July 05, 2006


Independence Day - Markets Closed

July 04, 2006

Gold Vs. Real Estate: Which Should You Own?
July 03, 2006

The Birth Of Wall Street
July 01, 2006

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