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The 3 Secrets of Self-Made Billionaire Investors
by Dan Ferris
February 6, 2006

Warren Buffett was born in 1930 and became a child of the Great Depression. Today he’s worth in excess of $40 billion.

George Soros was born the same year, and became a child of the Great Depression, the Holocaust and WWII. According to Forbes.com, he’s worth $7.2 billion.

Carl Icahn was born in 1936. He was once so broke he had to sell his car to feed himself. Forbes.com says he’s worth $8.5 billion today.

All started with nothing. All wound up billionaires. All did it by investing.

At first glance, they don’t seem to have much in common... Buffett buys stocks and whole companies and says his favorite holding period investments is “forever.” Soros became a billionaire by making huge leveraged trades in stocks and currencies. Icahn buys controlling stakes in public companies and badgers management to sell assets, buy back shares and do anything to realize hidden value.

But they do have some traits in common, a few core investing ideas that helped make them billionaires. Like every great secret of life, this one is hiding in plain sight. These 3 self-made billionaire investors…

1. Don’t diversify

2. Avoid risk

3. Don’t care what anyone else thinks

#1: DON’T DIVERSIFY. CONCENTRATE.

Consider what is likely your greatest source of wealth generation: your career. You probably haven’t diversified at all in your career. Even if you tried many different careers, you were never doing several of them at once. And, even if you do more than one job, it’s highly likely you spend the great majority of your time at just one of them and that just one provides the great majority of your income.

Why should investing be any different?

For many years, Buffett had most of Berkshire Hathaway’s money in just four stocks: American Express, Coca-Cola, Wells Fargo and Gillette. Gillette has since been acquired by Proctor & Gamble, and it looks like he might be selling Wells Fargo. He still owns the other two. In fact, he’s the biggest shareholder of both, holding 12% of American Express and 8% of Coke. He’s got $17 billion in those two stocks.

#2: AVOID RISK

When Carl Icahn bought Tappan shares, he was paying around $7.50 each. But he knew by looking at the balance sheet that the company was clearly worth $20 if it were broken up. That’s a 62% discount to fair value, a very safe bet.

After Tappan, Icahn targeted a real estate investment trust called Baird and Warner. At the time he found it, the stock was trading for $7.89. Its book value was $14. That’s a 44% discount to book value, and a generous margin of safety.

Soros manages risk differently than Icahn and Buffett. He says the first thing he’s looking to do is survive, and he’s known to beat a hasty retreat when he’s wrong. He keeps loss potential in mind before trading. When he shorted $10 billion of British pounds in 1992, he first calculated that his worst-case loss scenario was about 4%.

#3: THINK FOR THEMSELVES

Wall Street wouldn’t buy shares of The Washington Post when Buffett started buying it in February 1973. That’s true, even though most Wall Street analysts acknowledged that this was a $400 million company selling for $80 million. They were too scared because the overall market had been falling for some time.

Soros talks to lots of people to get a feel for where a market is going. But he never talks about what he's buying or selling. He just does it.

Carl Icahn doesn't need Wall Street, because he has his own research team. Icahn’s people comb through thousands of listed companies to find the ones that are right for Icahn’s corporate raider style. Icahn has to have his own research team. If he bought research from Wall Street, the whole world would figure out what he was doing, and it would become difficult to buy shares cheaply.

Think for yourself, avoid risk, and don’t attempt to diversify into a bunch of investments you don’t understand.

If you really want to get rich in stocks, those three rules are your foundation.

Good Investing,

Dan Ferris

Editor's note: Dan Ferris is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Dan Ferris.

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NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Gold, silver, platinum, palladium, copper, aluminum, lead, and zinc
Suncor Energy (SU)… Athabasca oil sands
Oceaneering International (OII)… underwater oil services
Newmont Mining (NEM)… world’s largest gold producer
Syngenta (SYT)… agricultural chemicals and seeds
Washington Group Int. (WGII)… heavy construction
Gilead Sciences (GILD)… biopharmaceuticals
ProLogis (PLD)… industrial REIT
Sasol (SSL)… petrochemicals
Canadian Pacific (CP)… railroads
Goldman Sachs (GS)… financial services
Russell 2000 Index… small cap stocks

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Overstock.com (OSTK)… Internet retail
Google (GOOG)… don’t say we didn’t warn you
Amazon.com (AMZN)… Internet retail
XM Satellite Radio (XMSR)… satellite radio
General Electric (GE)… world’s second largest company
Toll Brothers (TOL)… high-end home builder

A couple of weeks ago, we mentioned that Jeff Clark, one of California's top traders, was about to make a play on one of the world’s most popular Internet companies. Jeff predicted that in a short amount of time, you could make a bundle by trading options on it. The company is Amazon.com.

Not surprisingly, as of today -- 21 days later -- Jeff's options recommendation on Amazon.com is up 135%. Jeff is clearly on top of his game. And Amazon is just the most recent example of that.

 


“Nuclear energy accounts for 16 per cent of global power generation but capacity is increasing steadily. There are currently 441 commercial reactors operating worldwide with a further 23 reactors being built in 11 countries.

Most of the growth is planned in Asia where China plans to build two new reactors each year while India has eight reactors under construction.

Uranium oxide is trading at $37.50 a pound, up from less than $10 a pound in 2002. Prices are expected to reach about $40 a pound by the end of the year.”

-Financial Times

World raw-sugar futures climbed on the New York Board of Trade, reaching 25-year highs, as buying from trade houses and speculative funds lifted the market above 19 cents a pound -- a level that traders had eyed for sometime.

Prices are the highest since April 1981, with a big difference between then and now that Brazil has knocked out Cuba and other competitors to become the top producer and exporter, said Michael McDougall, senior vice president at Fimat USA in New York.

-The Wall Street Journal

“The Bush administration will ask Congress soon for another $120 billion to pay for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, bringing total spending since the Sept. 11 attacks to about $440 billion.

The war in Iraq is costing about $150 million a day, while continued fighting in Afghanistan is costing about $27 million a day.

In 2002, White House economic adviser Lawrence Lindsey suggested the cost could reach $200 billion. Mitch Daniels, then the White House budget director, said Lindsey's number was too high, and said the cost would be $60 billion or less. Lindsey resigned a few months later.”

-USA Today

Stock price performance of Armor Holdings (AH), military supplier, since the invasion of Iraq: +405%

Stock price performance of Rockwell Collins (COL), military supplier, since the invasion of
Iraq: +165%

TOLL BROS GETS CLOBBERED

In yesterday’s DailyWealth, we noted how the multi-year uptrend in home building stocks has stalled.

But “stalled” doesn’t begin to describe the past six months of price action in luxury home builder Toll Brothers (TOL).

With interest rates creeping up and home price apprecitation slowing down, Toll Brothers stock has been marked down 47% from it’s 2005 high… ouch!

The End of the Beginning…
February 3, 2006

The World's Safest Country... And Why Interest Rates There Are So High
February 2, 2006

The Old Dump and Load Routine
February 1, 2006

Why Commodity Stocks Are Still Supercheap
January 31, 2006

All Bull Markets Have Horns
January 30, 2006

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