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Up 80% This Year
by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud

April 12, 2006

John Doody is not one to toot his own horn.  But his Top Ten recommendations are up about 80% this year, so you need to know about him…

John is the editor and publisher of the Gold Stock Analyst, one of my favorite newsletters.  We last checked in with him in mid-January, asking him about silver. 

He recommended one stock to us… Western Silver (WTZ).  When we spoke, the stock was trading about $13.  As I write, WTZ is about $26 a share…  a double in less than three months.  (With the runup in WTZ, John has removed the stock from his Top Ten.)

So what’s John thinking now?  I checked in with him this week to find out…

“It’s time to take some money off the table in some gold stocks,” he told me. 

Although John thinks its time to take some profits, he’s not saying the bull market in gold is over… 

“Far from it,” he says.  But “we’ve come too far too fast,” and both “the market and the stocks need a breather.”

As an example of how crazy things have gotten lately, consider the shares of Gold Reserve (GRZ)…

John first recommended Gold Reserve to his subscribers at $2.02 at the end of 2005.  As I write, shares of Gold Reserve are up to over $7 now!  Jim Cramer gave a boost to Venezuelan gold stocks like Gold Reserve on CNBC recently, and it caused shares to soar.

John Doody is taking the opportunity to sell into “the Cramer effect” now… John took Gold Reserve off his Top Ten List also.  He told me he’ll buy it back again below $5 a share.

Now that he’s taken such large profits, where does John see opportunity now?

One place is Apex Silver (SIL)…

Apex is building a huge, 22-million-ounce-per-year mine in Bolivia.  It should start up operations by the end of next year.  Due to zinc by-products, this mine will be “very profitable.”

John also says Apex has “a huge portfolio of exploration properties” that he expects “will be a dividend to shareholders at some point.”

I like John.  He’s a no-nonsense guy.  He started writing the Gold Stock Analyst a dozen years ago, back when he was an economics professor.  His reason for starting it all?  As John told me: “Nobody else was sizing things up the way I wanted to see it.”

Right now, the way he sizes things up seems to be working. 

John Doody’s letter is the first place I turn when I want to size up the market for gold and silver stocks.  With his track record this year, you can easily see why. 

His letter is not for everyone, but if you’re investing a lot of money in gold and silver stocks, you have to check it out at www.goldstockanalyst.com.

Good investing,

Steve

Editor's note: Steve Sjuggerud is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Steve Sjuggerud.

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GLOBAL EQUITIES AT AN ALL-TIME HIGH

We saw a surprising chart last week…

The chart is the past ten years of the MSCI World Index.  Most analysts consider this index to be the gold standard for measuring the returns of global stocks.

Although U.S. stocks make up a large chunk of the MSCI World, the big gains in emerging markets like Brazil and Russia have sent this gauge of world equities past the bubble levels of March 2000… and on to all-time highs. 

Right now, the world is a happy place.  Now… if we can avoid a mortgage market meltdown, oil doesn’t go to $150 a barrel, and inflation doesn’t ignite, everything will be fine.

The 2000 peak is crested…the past 10 years in global stocks:

-Brian Hunt


“Oil prices shot back towards record levels on Monday amid growing tensions over Iran’s nuclear ambitions after weekend press reports claimed that the US government was studying military options for action.

An article in the New Yorker magazine said US officials were considering the possibility of using nuclear bombs against Iran’s suspected underground nuclear facilities.”

-Financial Times

“I don’t think there’s any doubt that the intelligence community and the defense department believe Iran would respond with terrorism. … So they would respond if we hit them militarily, if that was the first move. The second move would be them striking back with terrorism, including in the United States.”

-Former Counterterror Chief Richard Clarke

“Years of underinvestment by oil companies and miners during the 1990s – following years of relatively low prices – is partly to blame for the current price boom as producers were unprepared for the surge in demand from China’s rapidly growing economy. It has become the world’s biggest user of industrial metals, iron ore and soyabeans and the second biggest oil consumer.

Richard Adkerson, president and chief executive officer of Freeport-McMoRan Copper and Gold, said previous commodity prices booms triggered strong responses by producers to lift output, but this time round producers did not have ready available resources that could be tapped to meet demand. ‘In the past there were always mines that had been mothballed that can be reopened. We don’t have that choice anymore,’ said Mr Adkerson.”

-Financial Times

THE EASY WAY TO OWN GOLD           

The introduction of gold-specific exchange-traded funds has been a success in nearly every way.

Given the success of the streetTRACKS Gold Trust (GLD), look for more commodity-linked ETFs on the way.

Launched in late 2004, this vehicle has drawn over $6 billion in assets, and has gained 40% in the past year. 

Donald Trump Is Boring
April 11, 2006

The World's Cheapest Stock Market
April 10, 2006

The Winner of a Rare Prize
April 7, 2006

Two “Left For Dead” Bargains
April 6, 2006

Revelations at Dawn
April 5, 2006

 

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