DailyWealth Investment Newsletter  

About DailyWealth Premium Content DailyWealth Archive
DailyWealth Investment Newsletter DailyWealth Contributors DailyWealth Resources DailyWealth Market Window
 
DailyWealth Print Edition Print Edition | Sponsored Link:
True Wealth Login
Donald Trump Is Boring
by Tom Dyson
April 11, 2006

This weekend, I went to the Real Estate Wealth Expo at the Los Angeles convention center…

This was a huge event. I was even told this real estate convention was the largest investment event ever held. Attendance was estimated to be 58,000 people.

Donald Trump was the headline speaker. They paid him $1.5 million for his one-hour speech. That’s $25,000 per minute. They say it’s the most anyone’s ever been paid to stand on stage without a guitar.

Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad, Poor Dad, was also there. So were Suze Orman, Magic Johnson, and a dozen other famous wealth coaches and gurus...

There will be four more similar events this year… in Chicago, Atlanta, Boston, and New York. Trump will earn $1.5 million at each one.

Advertisement

Before we go any further, let’s be honest. I didn’t go there with an open mind. Here’s a list of the preconceptions I held as I walked through the doors:

1) The speakers are frauds. They have no valuable information to offer me and their products are worthless. They come to these events to feel important and tell everyone how rich they are. I liken them to television evangelists.

2) The crowd is composed of idiots. They have no idea how to invest. This is the dumb money. They believe real estate prices only move up and it’s easy to get rich in property. Sooner or later they will all get burned.

3) The conference will benefit DailyWealth readers in two ways. First, we get to observe the euphoria and greed of a crowd that’s about to get slaughtered. Many years from now - when it’s time to sell our gold and commodity investments - this experience will come in handy. Second, we may find ways to profit by betting against this crowd.

The convention was widely advertised. It was all over the Internet, in magazines, and on posters around Los Angeles. I even found an ad in Southwest’s in-flight magazine.

The convention center was packed. I decided not to eat breakfast. Big mistake. The only restaurants within a three-mile radius were all in the convention center. The line to get into the food court was so long, I’d have waited in line for over ninety minutes to get any food. The line at Starbucks was just as bad... probably three hundred people. I didn’t eat until I went home in the evening.

The main lecture hall was gigantic. The floor measured 346,000 square feet… about the size of six football fields...

To make sure everyone could see, they hung 12 giant screens from the ceiling.

Here’s what I learned amidst the crowd:

My preconceptions were totally wrong. The gurus spoke their minds. They warned the crowd about real estate prices. The overriding sentiment of the speakers was that California real estate prices are in serious trouble and there’s going to be a bust.

But this is good news they all said… “A bust will create enormous opportunities for us.”

Real estate experts hoping for a bust? I didn’t expect this
sentiment at all.

I spoke to a number of attendees. It didn’t feel like I was talking to dumb money. These people were not flipping condos. They wanted to learn about foreclosure auctions, tax strategies, and legal protection. Above all...

They wanted to be entrepreneurs. They wanted freedom from corporate America and the chance to take a risk. I applaud.

The real suckers, I still believe, are those who need house prices to go up in order to survive. The market will hurt them. I include condo developers, aggressive lenders, and individuals who overreached.

And as for Donald Trump... he was one of the worst speakers I saw all weekend. They gave him a huge build up, chanting his name... Trump. Trump. Trump. They waved signs and dropped ticker tape for him, but he’s just not a talented public speaker.

Here’s what one guy said:

Trump has such a big ego and his speech was all about him. I was bored. The best speaker I saw this weekend had an even bigger ego, but he made his speech about the crowd. The crowd loved him for it.”

I was bored too. I left Trump’s speech half way through. One speaker however, caught my attention… I was totally surprised.

More on this surprise in my next DailyWealth column...

Good Investing,

Tom Dyson

Email a Friend

Delicious
Reddit

Digg

RSS

CRUDE OIL HEADS HIGHER

After moving sideways for six months, crude oil is climbing back towards the hurricane-inspired highs of August 2005.

The energy bears will be right eventually… oil will correct to the downside and wipe out heavily leveraged traders. For now though, the chart below shows an oil market making higher highs and higher lows. To fight that now is insanity.

A market that “wants” to head higher… Crude Oil (2-year chart):

While crude oil inches up the charts towards $70 a barrel, it pulls a wagon full of oil producing stocks with it. For example, blue chip oil sands play Canadian Oil Sands Trust (COS/UN.TO) is up 288% in the past two years. The returns in the right resource stocks are truly amazing…

Canadian Oil Sands Trust (2-year chart):


“Royal Dutch-Shell has said that it hopes to be sending workers back into Nigeria’s Niger River Delta soon and start operations there once again. Malcolm Brinded, a spokesperson for the company, said late last week that he hopes that ‘within a few days we can safely return’ to the facilities there.

However, MEND (the Movement for Emancipation of the Niger River Delta) sent an email to the news media in Lagos and Abuja immediately following Mr. Brinded’s comment and made it quite clear that Shell’s return would not be allowed.

MEND said that ‘anyone found on Shell platforms previously attacked will be executed.’”

-The Gartman Letter

“Despite the anticipated tripling of capacity by 2015 for both oil sands and LNG [liquefied natural gas], the new resources would then supply 1% and 3% of world energy requirements respectively.”

-McDep Associates

Highest gas price in the USA:

Los Angeles, CA: $3.19

Lowest gas price in the USA:

Pompton Lakes, NJ: $1.94

-Gaswatch.info
Advertisement

INVESTING IN THE SAN JUAN BASIN

With natural gas prices getting halved in the past four months, investors hunting for beaten-down commodity investments can check out natural gas trusts.

Widely considered one of the best of the bunch, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) is well off its 52 week highs and offers a yield of 8%+.

As natural gas goes, so goes SJT.

The World's Cheapest Stock Market
April 10, 2006

The Winner of a Rare Prize
April 7, 2006

Two “Left For Dead” Bargains
April 6, 2006

Revelations at Dawn
April 5, 2006

The Spoils of War
April 4, 2006

 

Home | About DailyWealth | Premium Content | DailyWealth Archive | Contributors
DailyWealth Resources | Research Reports | Privacy Policy

Customer Service: 1-888-261-2693 – Copyright 2008 Stansberry & Associates Investment Research. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This e-letter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Stansberry & Associates Investment Research, LLC. 1217 Saint Paul Street, Baltimore MD 21202