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Two “Left For Dead” Bargains
by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
April 6, 2006

If you want to make really big returns with your investments, I’ve found only one thing that works…

You’ve got to buy when things go from “really bad” to “less bad.”

When things are “really bad,” that’s when you get to buy at bargain prices. If you want triple-digit returns in a short period of time, this is what you must do.

Unfortunately, just about every asset in the world right now has been rising for several years. There simply aren’t many “left for dead” places to invest…

But after a lot of digging, I’ve found one of those places that could make you a lot money. Today, I’ll share it with you…

It’s an investment theme that was loved 10 years ago… but it’s been left for dead for quite a while now. Things are so bad here, these companies might be the worst performing stock group over the last decade. So they’re probably cheap now… Great!

I wrote all about it in my March issue of True Wealth, while I was in Australia. In pure coincidence, my good friend Porter Stansberry came up with the exact same idea, at the exact same time, back at company headquarters in Baltimore.

We both told our readers to expect profits of 50% in the next 12 to 24 months, which is terrific upside. On the downside, you’re buying these assets at “fire-sale” prices, so your risk is limited. Let me explain…

Back in the late 1990s, the old telecom companies were considered “the backbone of the digital revolution…”

The experts claimed these companies would bring broadband to every home, and make people rich in the process. All we had to do was buy the stocks, and the money would roll in.

I didn’t buy into it back then… For one, the math didn’t add up. At the time, these big phone companies were losing money for every broadband customer they signed on. To justify their valuations, they relied on sky-high future projections.

We all know what happened... When it came to broadband, the future took a lot longer to get here than everyone thought. Shares of the big phone companies got crushed…

As a group, AT&T, Verizon, BellSouth, and SprintNextel are down about 70% in the last six years. They make up about 85% of the TTH Index, shown here:

TELECOM STOCKS (the TTH index):
ONCE OBLITERATED… THEY’RE FINALLY IN A REAL UPTREND

Back in the late 1990s, telecom stocks traded at absolutely ridiculous valuations. Earnings have generally grown since then, but their stock prices have fallen dramatically.

They’re finally cheap enough to buy now. I told my True Wealth readers to buy shares of Australia’s biggest telephone company Telstra (TLS). Porter told his readers to buy shares of Verizon (VZ). Across these two stocks, the average dividend payable to you is 6%, and the average P/E ratio is 12.

When you buy these two stocks, you collect 6% per year in dividend income. Meanwhile, as these stocks go from “hated” to “less hated,” we could make a fast 50% gain. Everyone hates the big old phone companies, so we buy them at fire-sale prices and limit our downside risk.

Remember, we’re not buying because they’re great… We’re buying because we expect they’ll simply go from bad to less bad… and that’s where the big money is made quickly!

If these big ol’ telecoms are good enough for Porter and me to recommend to our paid subscribers, then you ought to at least consider the idea…

Good investing,

Steve

Editor's note: Steve Sjuggerud is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

Sign up today to read more investment ideas from Steve Sjuggerud.

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IS THE BIG MONEY FLOWING INTO CRESUD?

There’s something going on with one of DailyWealth’s favorite land investments…

The investment is Argentine land and agriculture play Cresud (CRESY).

A True Wealth portfolio holding, Cresud acts as a REIT in Argentina, with large farmland, agriculture, and real estate holdings. Cresud’s man in charge, Eduardo Elsztain, could be called the “Donald Trump of Argentina.” The stock could rise 50% and it would still look cheap.

As shown by today’s chart, CRESY has been making big price gains on big trading volume in the past three months. These “big volume” moves usually signal professional money managers are buying loads of stock.

This action could set off a big run in share price. It could also be random trading. Whatever the case, we’re watching to see how it plays out…

The past three months in Cresud:

-Brian Hunt


“China is the world's third-biggest market for gold after India and the United States, according to the World Gold Council, an industry organization.

Last year Chinese demand for gold rose 8 percent to more than 250 tons.”

-People’s Daily Online

“The high price of gold could reduce jewellery demand by a fifth this year, according to The Yellow Book, a bi-annual analysis published by Virtual Metals Research & Consulting and Fortis Bank.

Physical demand has been badly affected by gold’s surge towards $600 a troy ounce this year and total jewellery demand is forecast to fall by 21 per cent this year to 2,341 tonnes.

Jewellery accounts for about 75 per cent of the demand for gold, which has very few industrial applications.”

-Financial Times

“BHP Billiton, the world's biggest mining company, may spend $5 billion to double copper production and almost quadruple uranium output at its Olympic Dam mine in Australia on rising demand from China.

The Olympic Dam expansion would come on top of more than $14 billion that BHP is spending on mines and oil fields globally to 2011 as China buys more raw materials to fuel growth. Asia's biggest energy consumer signed agreements this week clearing the way to buy uranium from Australia for the first time as it seeks to cut reliance on oil and coal for power.”

-Bloomberg

A STRANGE INVESTMENT TO FIND IN A PAWN SHOP

As described in our January 23 edition, you never know where your next investment idea will come from…

The investment idea was Rofin-Sinar Technologies (RSTI). Rofin’s machines use lasers to cut, mark, and weld industrial-strength materials. They are found in industries as diverse as diamond authentication to chain welding to medical device manufacturing. The stock hit a new high this week.

We were looking for guitars. We found Rofin in a pawnshop…

Revelations at Dawn
April 5, 2006

The Spoils of War
April 4, 2006

Before You Buy… Is It Great?
April 3, 2006

This Market Was Rigged For Decades
March 31, 2006

Are China Plays Overhyped?
March 30, 2006

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