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Be Very Careful Investing – and Living – Here...

By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Tuesday, October 30, 2007

You'd be sitting on 250%+ returns today if you'd invested in the Templeton Russia Fund (TRF) starting in early 2003.

Even better, commodity prices have soared in that time, and Russia has some of the world's largest oil, mineral, and timber reserves. So Russia's future looks just great, as far as revenues are concerned.

But I wouldn't invest in Russia today. And if you are considering it, be very, very careful...

"As for my own safety in Russia, I don't feel safe," Garry Kasparov told us in New Orleans last week. Kasparov is doing the unthinkable... He recently announced he's running for president in Russia against Vladimir Putin.

Putin, if you're not aware, has no opposition. "This regime has no allergy to blood," Kasparov said, alluding to the surprising number of dissenters that have ended up dead.

When Brian Hunt, our editor-in-chief, asked how he deals with this, he said: "I avoid consuming food that's been prepared by people I don't know... I don't go out at night with people I don't know... And I have bodyguards in my country."

So why is he risking his life? To make a better future for his countrymen. "One man with courage makes a majority," he said. Kasparov is showing extraordinary courage right now.

"Putin has demolished democratic ideals," he told us. "In the U.S.A., you have problems forming a third party. Well, in Russia, we have those same problems with forming a second party," he joked. "We're not fighting to win elections in Russia, we're just fighting to have elections."

Kasparov described how Putin is closer to Iran's Ahmadinejad than American and European leaders. "For Western leaders to recognize Putin as an equal is devastating to the cause of freedom. It gives Putin credibility, which he doesn't deserve."

Again, trying to make a serious point while keeping things light, Kasparov said, "In Russia, we have a bizarre combination of Adam Smith and Karl Marx at work... State expenses are nationalized, but state profits are privatized."

I met Kasparov last week.

Garry Kasparov
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud with Garry Kasparov

Kasparov, if you're not familiar, became the world's youngest-ever chess champion in 1985. He was 22 years old. He was ranked the No. 1 chess player in the world for 20 years. He retired from competitive chess in 2005 and is now the highest-profile critic of Vladimir Putin's regime.

Kasparov is approaching the election like a chess match with his life on the line. He is hoping his international fame will help keep him from "permanently disappearing" like other dissenters.

We wish him luck in stopping Russia's slide away from democracy. You can't change the world if you don't try. Kasparov kept talking about "having the courage to fail." With his willingness to risk his life, he sure has that courage...

We wish you the best, Mr. Kasparov.

Until something or someone, can stop Russia's slide away from democracy, we have no interest in investing in there.

Good investing,

Steve

Editor's note: Steve Sjuggerud is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.
 
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WHO CARES IF THERE'S NO PROFIT?


Asia at all-time highs... tech at all-time highs... commodities at all-time highs... foreign currencies at all-time highs. These days, it isn't "if" investors are making money, but "how much?"

A look at the Growth Stock Wire's ETF list tells us to place alternative energy in the "making a heck of a lot" category. Back in April, we described how $19 billion worth of financing was headed for investments focused on "climate change." Our friend Rick Rule forecasted a rise in green energy stocks as the flood of money poured into the sector.

We'd guess most alternative energy firms have as much chance at turning a profit as your average airline. But with crude, coal, and uranium up by hundreds of percent in the past few years, folks are investing frantically in alternatives. It seems as one could hook up a 12-volt car battery to a windmill and lure several million dollars in venture capital to the project.

You can watch this speculative flow by tracking the PowerShares Clean Energy ETF. This fund is loaded with solar, fuel cell, and wind energy stocks. Its 42% gain in the past 12 months puts it among the world's best- performing ETFs. As the love of green energy goes, so goes the PBW.

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