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This Gadget Will Revolutionize Our Power Supply

By Tom Dyson, publisher, The Palm Beach Letter
Wednesday, July 16, 2008

In Lee County, Florida, you'll get a 50% discount on the toll bridge if you travel outside daily rush hours.

Economists call this variable pricing. When there's more demand for your service, you charge a higher price. The railroads use it. The airlines use it. Even telephone companies charge separately for peak and off-peak calling.

But there's one industry that really wants to use variable pricing: the power industry.

Demand for power in the United States peaks daily at 6 p.m. That's when people get back from work, heat their ovens, run the laundry, and turn on the air conditioning. Power demand bottoms at 4 a.m., when the whole country is asleep.

Because they have no way to store electricity, power plants must always have spare generating capacity to meet peaks in demand. If power demand spikes and the power company can't keep up, you get a blackout.

To make sure there's always enough power, power companies run two types of power plants: base load plants and peak load plants.

Base load plants meet the minimum power demand. Nuclear, coal, and hydro power plants are examples. You can't switch off a reactor, cool a furnace, or stop a river, so base plants run all day and night. These plants produce the cheapest electricity.

As power demand starts rising at 6 a.m., power companies bring on their peak load plants. Peak plants generally run on natural gas so they can be turned on and off easily. These plants are much more expensive to run, so the power companies use them like pinch hitters: They bring them on line only when they need them.

As a rough guide, peak power is three times more expensive than off-peak power... but it varies a lot depending on the region. As things currently stand, power companies figure out the average cost of power each day and charge every customer the same price, regardless of the time of day they consumed the power.

The power company would like to charge you more for using power at peak times... like the toll bridge or the phone company. By charging more for peak usage and less for off-peak usage, consumers would alter their habits. Peak demand would decline and base demand would rise. Power companies could avoid building expensive peak load power plants. Consumers could cut their bills in half. And it would create spare generation capacity for the future...

According to the North American Reliability Corporation, United States demand for peak electricity will increase by 135 gigawatts over the next decade... But supply will only rise by 77 gigawatts. If these projections are correct, there will be a major shortage of electricity within the next 10 years.

Variable pricing would save everyone money and ease the coming electricity shortage. But how will the power industry implement variable pricing? Smart meters. A smart meter records how much power you use and when you use it.


Pacific Power and Gas, the California utility, wants to install smart meters with millions of customers in northern California. And a utility in Texas, Oncor, recently signed a $690 million contract to install smart meters in 7 million households.The world's largest smart-meter deployment is in Italy, by the power company Enel SpA. Enel says the project cost 2.1 billion euros but saves 500 million euros per year... a four-year payback.

Echelon (ELON) and Itron (ITRI) are the two smart-meter market leaders... Variable pricing will revolutionize the electricity industry. I'm going to keep a close eye on the companies that make smart meters... and I recommend you do the same.

Good investing,

Tom

Editor's note: Steve Sjuggerud is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments. 







A MAJOR REASON TO BE INTERESTED IN SILVER RIGHT NOW

More reason to study the "bull case" for silver... Jeff Clark is buying it.

As Steve covered in yesterday's essay, there aren't many "gurus" in the investment world that live up to their hype. Steve Leuthold is one when it comes to broad market analysis. Bill Gross is one when it comes to bonds. Our friend Jeff Clark is one when it comes to short-term trading.

Jeff is our E.F. Hutton of trading. When he speaks, we listen. What he writes, we read. This "strategy" is how a lot of his clients and readers have become millionaires. This week, Jeff is writing about silver.

In his Monday S&A Short Report, Jeff presented a chart on our nation's banking system that scared the hell out of any reasonable investor. The chart is incredibly bullish for silver... And Jeff has provided readers with two ways to make fast triple-digit gains in the metal. This trade will likely pay for a subscription to Jeff's phenomenal service. You can learn more about theS&A Short Report here.



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