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A Visit to the Filthiest City in North America

By Tom Dyson, publisher, The Palm Beach Letter
Wednesday, April 2, 2008

"The policia will rob you if you go down there..." 

 
I had just arrived in Ciudad Juarez. Ciudad Juarez is a border town across the Rio Grande from El Paso, Texas.  
 
It was 9 a.m. I was looking for a supermarket to get breakfast. A woman had pointed me down a backstreet. I started walking down the backstreet when a man called out to me, warning about the police. 
 
"There's a roadblock down there. The policia will fine you. They arrest gringos looking for girls." 
 
"But I want to buy some fruit," I told him.  
 
"It doesn't matter," he said. "They'll take your money just for walking down there." 
 
I thanked the man and turned back to the main road. He called out behind me, "You need something else amigo... girls, weed?" 
 
Juarez is probably the filthiest city in North America. It's like there's no government there. Simple things are missing... like traffic lights. Potholes never get repaired. No one picks up the trash. The police are all criminals.
 
The irony is, Juarez is one of the richest cities in Mexico. This is because drug cartels own it. The cartels make billions of dollars selling drugs. It's all cash. They can't deposit it in the bank or invest it in the stock market. So they spend it on houses and cars. The city's infrastructure may be terrible... but house prices in Juarez are the highest in Mexico. I saw more Cadillac Escalades in an hour there than the four days I was in Texas. 
 
I went to Juarez to continue my research on pawnshops. The Spanish phrase for pawnshop is "Casa De Empeno."  
 
Mexican pawnshops use loud music, bright lights, and uniformed staff to generate credibility. They look like franchises. The first store I visited was so clean and welcoming, it felt like I'd found a McDonald's restaurant in the middle of a flea market... 
 
Pawnshops don't have the stigma in Mexico that they have in the United States. Only 10% of the Mexican population has a bank account. Everyone else lives in the cash economy.
 
Many Mexicans store their wealth in jewels and electronics. They use pawnshops like Americans use ATM machines. When they need cash, they bring their television to the pawnshop and take out a loan. Pawnshop interest rates don't seem so high in Mexico because national interest rates are much higher there. For example, the average rate on a standard credit card in America is 13.4%. In Mexico, average credit card rates are 34.27%, according to the Mexico's national newspaper, La Reforma
 
The retail side of the pawnshop businesses works better in Mexico, too. In Mexico, buying second-hand goods is not the disgrace it is in America.  
 
The government runs the largest pawnshop chain in Mexico and has controlled the market for decades. This is probably the main reason the pawnshop industry in Mexico feels so legitimate... and why there's opportunity here...  
 
About 10 years ago, the government opened the pawnshop market to private players. Now there's a boom. New pawnshops are popping up all over the country. 

Mexican pawnshops are so profitable they generally pay for themselves in less than seven months from their opening day. I met with the CFO of a publicly traded Mexican pawnshop chain. He thinks there's room for his company to open another 500 or 1,000 new pawnshops in Mexico over the next few years.  

 
I think Mexican pawnshops are a fantastic investment right now. In fact, I'm recommending a Mexican pawnshop operator in my newsletter, International Strategist, this month. If you don't mind the social stigma of going into pawnshops, you should consider investing in one too.
 
Good investing, 
 
Tom

Editor's note: Tom Dyson is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

 
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THE GOLD SHAKEOUT IS HERE, AND IT IS SEVERE

Of all the commodity bulls receiving the refresher course we talked about yesterday, those who favor gold are getting "refreshed" the hardest... Gold fell 4% yesterday to reach $880 an ounce.

We expected this type of move last month when we began receiving e-mails and calls from family saying they "saw something on the news about gold," followed with, "Should I buy some?"
Our answer: "Yes... but only if you plan on holding for years." As we've often pointed out in DailyWealth, the long-term argument for owning gold – as a safe-haven asset and wealth diversifier – is as good as ever... but given gold's stupendous rise from late '07 to early '08, the metal is long overdue for the healthy correction it is experiencing now. It is a correction that could go much further – and not bother us bulls a bit.


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