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How to Buy Gold Bullion at a 41% Discount

By Tom Dyson, publisher, The Palm Beach Letter
Wednesday, March 26, 2008

The international spot price of gold is $929 an ounce. Today I found a way to buy solid gold at $548 an ounce.

This is a wonderful deal. It cannot be beaten anywhere in the world. But there is a catch: supply. Normally there aren't many suppliers willing to part with their gold at a 41% discount.

However, this year, that changed. Millions of sellers are trading gold at this discount as I write. And you can buy this gold, if you like. But first let me explain how I found this opportunity...

Yesterday, I visited three pawnshops in Arlington, Texas. I became interested in the pawnshop business for credit reasons. The fall in house prices has destroyed the credit of millions of Americans. I figured demand for pawnshop financing would rise. I came to Texas to test my theory.

It turns out, I'm right. Customers packed all three pawnshops I visited. But the interesting part is, many of those customers were there for one reason: "We're seeing a lot of gold right now," said the woman behind the counter at one of the pawnshops I visited.

I'll always remember a New York Times article from January 1980. It told the story of the owner of an antique store. The day before, gold had hit $850 an ounce. When the storeowner came to work the following morning, a line of people stretched outside his shop. They had come to sell their gold and silver to him. In the photo that accompanies the story, you can make out two silver candlesticks poking out of the top of one woman's bag. Another man carries a big silver bowl under his arm. He must have made a fortune that day.

I found similar articles recently... Greater Milwaukee Coin and Jewelry is usually quiet. Now people stand in line. It's the same story at South Florida Gun and Pawn. At Courtesy Pawn in Midland, Texas, gold purchases have doubled in the last two months. At Reliable Loan and Jewelry in Raleigh, North Carolina, people are "flopping their teeth on the counter" once a week to sell their gold fillings.

These stories are endless. Just put the search term "gold pawn" into Google and you'll see what I mean.

In the three pawnshops I visited yesterday, I couldn't see much gold in the display cases. So I asked the woman where they kept it.

She explained gold is out of fashion right now, and people don't buy gold in pawnshops anyway. They go to the mall. So the pawnshops sell their gold to refiners. The refiners melt the gold and resell it as bullion.

The latest quarterly report of one publicly traded pawnshop operator I studied stated the company made gross margins of 41% in its scrap jewelry business. In other words, it buys gold jewelry from its customers at a 41% discount to its melt value.

With gold near $1,000 an ounce, and so many people in financial difficulties, everyone's rushing to sell their jewelry right now. This is great news for pawnshops.

There are several publicly traded pawnshop operators. The largest are Cash America International (CSH) and EZCORP (EZPW). If you want to buy gold at 41% discount to melt value and profit as more and more people dump their jewelry, you should consider investing in a pawnshop.

Good investing,

Tom

Editor's note: Tom Dyson is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.

 
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ANOTHER MONTH, ANOTHER WIN FOR HOMEBUILDERS

Usually, the price of an asset at any given time is like the trench warfare conducted during World War I... a giant give-and-take battle with constantly re-drawn lines.

One side tears through supply/demand figures, balance sheets, and general industry conditions. It then invests accordingly and expects the line to move in its favor. The other side does the same analysis... but arrives at the opposite conclusion. It invests accordingly and also expects the line to move in its favor.

For the past two years, the action in homebuilder stocks was a one-sided bloodbath, as the sector plummeted 75%. The bulls that have survived, however, are finally winning a few battles...

In the face of the worst credit and housing news in more than a decade, homebuilders have gained 20% this month. Gains come on high volume, price declines come on low volume. Little by little, week by week, the bullish case for homebuilders is getting stronger.


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