| Home | About Us | Resources | Archive | Free Reports | Market Window |
How I'm Betting Against the EuroBy Dr. Steve SjuggerudFriday, February 19, 2010
Two months ago, I recommended betting against the euro...
This type of opportunity doesn't come along very often. It is time to bet against the euro. It is overpriced. The euro is in a horrible situation right now. A mountain of factors is against it. And in just the last three weeks or so, a downtrend has been established – so it's time to make the trade.My friend, the euro is crashing... ![]() And the reality is, the current problems in Europe are not going away. In the Wednesday edition of the excellent Gartman Letter, Dennis Gartman said he is convinced "we are watching the first battles in a long war that shall end with the dissolution of the European Union and the European Monetary Union."
OUR LAST REBOUND TRADE TO GAIN 100% It took a while, but all three of our "rebound trades" have registered more than 100% gains.
Just after the terrible market selloff of late 2008, we identified three sectors with tremendous potential to rebound in price... gold stocks, emerging market stocks, and infrastructure stocks. These three groups suffered much more than the average stock during the credit panic. Old school traders' wisdom says assets that suffer the most during a selloff rally the hardest when the market recovers. Our selections of emerging markets and gold stocks played out according to plan... and doubled in less than a year. Infrastructure stocks – the builders of bridges, tunnels, pipelines, and refineries – however, were slow to get going. Our power plant specialist Shaw Group (SHAW) "only" gained 75% in the next 12 months. But in the past few months, Shaw has staged an upside breakout to register a more than 100% gain since our column. Our initial commentary stated: It's a no brainer that Obama & Co will throw hundreds of billions at improving America's infrastructure. It's politically irresistible. You can argue against wars, drug laws, and censorship... but what kind of unpatriotic scum doesn't support new roads, electrical capacity, and bridges? As you can see, the market is agreeing with our thesis. Shaw and its fellow infrastructure builders have broken out of a long base of sideways trading action. Easier credit, higher commodity prices, and the aforementioned stimulus money are sending the sector higher. |
|