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Our 50% Volatility Trade, Part IIBy Tom Dyson, publisher, The Palm Beach LetterTuesday, February 16, 2010
On November 13, 2008, the Dow Jones logged its fourth-biggest daily gain in the stock market since World War II...
![]() Using this period as our template for the "new era" of turbulence, we should be able to make a fortune by betting on volatility every time the VIX gets near 17.50 and selling every time the VIX rises to 45. ![]() If I'm right about the big trends and our "new era of turbulence," the VIX should quickly return to normal levels near 30... And if we're lucky, we may even get a spike to abnormal levels near 45.
HOW EUROPEANS SEE THE PRICE OF GOLD Last week, we covered how rich investors tend to see the price of gold:with the "long view" in mind. Today, we see gold through another rich investor's perspective: the global one.
You see, sophisticated investors tend to look at the world through a variety of lenses. Something that seems horrible to a U.S. investor might be great for an Australian or Chinese investor. For instance, a currency crash in one country means an investor in a country with a strong currency can buy assets – or travel – on the cheap. More perspectives mean more opportunities. Today, we look at gold from a European's perspective. Gold in terms of U.S. dollars is down more than $100 an ounce from its December high. But as you can see from today's chart, gold priced in euro terms is just a whisker away from a new bull-market high. The global trend of junk paper currencies fallingand gold rising continues. |
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