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At the end of 2007, the five largest U.S. securities firms paid their employees $66 billion in bonuses. All of it came from "profits" that we've since learned were horrendous losses.
With the writeoffs from just these five firms now totaling much more than $100 billion, at what point do you begin to judge what these people did as not merely reckless and negligent, but calculating and criminal? They had to have known by at least the end of 2007 that most of their mortgage securities were cooked.
And yet, they took the biggest bonuses in the history of Wall Street, leaving taxpayers to pick up the mess.
Every corrupt and failed [U.S.] institution, instead of being allowed to turn into compost to be recycled by the economic worms into fertilizer for a new generation of businesses, is going to be propped up like a zombie. They'll continue doing the same stupid things that got the country into the current mess.
The wave of collapses is going to get much worse. Lots more banks will fail, so the FDIC will need hundreds of billions more in funding. They'll try bailing out everything, starting with the auto companies.
Who knows where they'll stop? Homebuilders are lining up. Can't let commercial property developers fail, because it would put that much more pressure on the banks.
I play poker. Sometimes you see a player undergo a temporary psychotic break. They'll make totally irrational, wild, stupid bets in a desperate attempt to get out even. It's called going on tilt.
The U.S. government, as an enterprise, is now on tilt.

"No one should have a favorite child," Bill Gross told Barron's over the weekend. But Bill's "favorite child" is "about as good a deal as any in the bond market today."
Bill Gross is known as the Bond King – for good reason. He's the world's biggest bond-fund manager, responsible for some $800 billion in invested assets. He's also the best bond-fund manager who's ever lived. Even today, he's still as good as it gets: He beat 99% of his peers over the last five years.
Bill's "favorite child" fund has less than $1 billion in market cap. But he toldBarron's it was his "focus every morning."
The fund yields 23%. It's the Pimco High Income Fund (PHK). According to Bill, "It isn't a high-yield fund anymore; 40% of its assets are high-yield, but 60% are investment-grade."
Since 1970, investment-grade bonds have paid about two percentage points higher than Treasury bonds, on average. So if Treasury bonds paid 4% interest, investment-grade "corporates" paid 6% interest.
However, in November, as the credit crunch hit its worst point, investment-grade corporates were paying over 9% interest, while Treasuries paid less than 3% – a difference of six percentage points. We have only seen such a wide "spread" once before, at the bottom of the Great Depression in 1932.
Unless you believe in the Next Great Depression, you want to own corporate bonds. They're now in a solid uptrend – and they're still paying much higher yields than Treasuries.
With the PIMCO High Income Fund, you get paid 23% in dividends on a better-quality portfolio of bonds than its name would lead you to believe. No wonder the Bond King calls it "about as good a deal as any in the bond market today."
Of course, when the market opens today, shares of PHK will probably jump higher because of a "Barron's Bounce." Fortunately, True Wealth subscribers already own it. Extraordinarily, PHK has soared by over 100% in the last two months!
Not every high-yield bond fond will show you 100% returns... But while most investors fret about the direction of the stock market, income plays like investment-grade corporate bond funds will likely do just fine.
The fall in the stock market we saw at the beginning of 2009 showed us what categories of investments are vulnerable. Good, safe income plays (like the types of bonds Bill Gross has been buying) held up extremely well.
Even if the bond funds you hold have a few bonds that default, you'll still do very well... The interest you can earn right now will more than compensate you for defaults.
If you're worried about the stock market in 2009, then consider investment-grade bonds – they're likely your highest-reward, lowest risk play for the year. Between the income from dividends and the capital gains, you should earn safe double-digit gains.
Good investing,
Steve
Editor's note: Steve Sjuggerud is a regular contributor to DailyWealth, a free investment newsletter focused on the world's best contrarian opportunities. We write with a simple belief in mind: You don't have to take big risks to make big money with your investments.
An update on the "gold vs. landfill stuffing" ratio we introduced in 2007...
We compare the price of gold to the share price of Nordstrom to monitor an important trend: the rising value of gold versus the value of stuff that will end up in a landfill. Gold represents timeless, real wealth. Shares in high-end retailer Nordstrom represent the desire to spend $100 on a shirt.
When we first published this ratio, gold was rising and Nordstrom shares were falling. The ratio had climbed from 12 to 24 in gold's favor in less than one year. Now, the ratio is around 65. The housing and credit blowup has sent gold soaring against materialism.
The key to this ratio is the most important trend in the world... the "blowup" of years of dumb government policy. The housing bubble (sponsored by the government with years of absurdly low interest rates and insane loan guarantees) is deflating. Everyone is buying fewer $100 shirts. Meanwhile, the government is handing over $1 trillion in paper money to anyone who hasn't figured out the whole "earn it before you spend it" thing.
The market realizes this "great papering" isn't right... so it's pushing the value of gold higher against the value of currencies, stocks, commodities, housing... and landfill stuffing.