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Perception ≠ Reality in China

By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Thursday, July 20, 2017

"You don't understand... Every major city in China looks like this," a friend – who has lived in China for decades – told us at dinner in Beijing last month.
 
All the Americans at the dinner table went quiet. A collective "oh... my... gosh..." went through our heads.
 
We were stunned – but we knew it was true...
 
We had just spent a couple days in and around Beijing. We were sitting at Din Tai Fung restaurant – according to the New York Times, it's one of the top 10 gourmet restaurants in the world. Food celebrity Anthony Bourdain said he'd "travel halfway 'round the world to eat dumplings at Din Tai Fung."
 
We'd walked 200 yards from our hotel to the restaurant – past Tesla car-charging stations, ultra-modern high-rises, and perfectly manicured streets.
 
Honestly, it felt like we'd stepped into the future. This was Communist China?
 
We'd already decided that Beijing was the most modern city any of us had ever experienced...
 
Where else can you buy a bottle of wine out of a vending machine... with just your mobile phone?
 

That's real. Payment via mobile phone is all this vending machine accepts. Cash and credit cards are no good.
 
This is the reality in Beijing. Life there is as futuristic as it gets.
 
Can all the major cities in China be even close to this?
 
Our dinner host – an American-born Chinese executive who has lived in China for decades – said yes. And I can personally confirm it's true of Shanghai and Shenzhen.
 
The thing is, the perception about China is different from the reality...
 
I'm fully aware of the criticisms of China... We get them in our inbox every day.
 
China's factories have "deplorable working conditions," a subscriber wrote to tell us recently. And he said that we were only taken to "places that we're allowed to see."
 
His views might represent the average American's views on China... But what is this, 1990?
 
I'm certain this subscriber has never been to China.
 
Saying that we were "only taken to places that we're allowed to see" is laughable. Nobody stopped me from going anywhere in Beijing... It's like being in a big city anywhere, but more modern. Being in Beijing feels like being in New York City. But cleaner. And safer. And more futuristic.
 
And the factories? Again, what is this, 1990?
 
Buying an apartment in Beijing will cost you more than $1 million today. It will cost you even more in Shanghai... and even more than that in Hong Kong. (These aren't fancy apartments with great views, either – the real estate is just that expensive.)
 
Think about it... With a cost of living like that, China can no longer possibly be the low-cost manufacturing hub of the world.
 
China's days of being the "sweatshop of the world" are over...
 
These massive differences between reality and perception are part of the reason I'm so bullish on Chinese stocks right now. They create a massive investing opportunity.
 
When the huge difference between reality and perception goes away, the potential for huge gains will disappear, too.
 
Said another way... when investors are excited about China, the end will be near.
 
That's not happening now. The general investing public is still dead wrong about China. And that means the upside potential is still great.
 
Good investing,
 
Steve




Further Reading:

On Steve's recent trip to Beijing, he found an ultramodern city – in the heart of Communist China. "If I wanted to film a movie that's set in the future, I would come to China to do it," he writes. Read more here.
 
"Stocks are having another great year," Steve says. "But I hope you're not solely invested here at home." Emerging markets have started to outperform the U.S... And history says the gains could be explosive. Learn more here.

Market Notes


THESE GIANTS SOAR AS CONSUMERS SPEND

Today, we check in on one of our favorite economic indicators...
 
Longtime DailyWealth readers know we like to monitor various companies and industries as a way to take the temperature of the American economy. When people are building pools, buying motorcycles and recreational vehicles, and taking trips on cruise lines, it's a sign of consumer confidence in the U.S.
 
But folks don't normally make those purchases with cash. Instead, they pull out their credit cards (or their "digital wallets"). We can see when people are buying by looking at shares of two of the country's largest credit-card companies, Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA).
 
These companies connect consumers with merchants in more than 200 countries. And with every swipe, Visa and Mastercard get a tiny transaction fee. That includes the charges made via their mobile-payment apps... And it adds up to big profits. So it's no surprise that both stocks are trading at new all-time highs. As U.S. consumers continue to spend, these companies should climb higher...
 

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