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Dr. David Eifrig's Retirement ConfessionBy Dr. David Eifrig, editor, Retirement MillionaireThursday, March 26, 2009 If you've been reading DailyWealth for the past few months, you may recall some loopholes I've covered on how to get early retirement money, cheap drugs, cheap food, and cheap vacations.
Further Reading:
How to Use Your Retirement Savings, Penalty-Free... at Any Age
WHY YOU CAN STAY LONG CRUDE OIL This winter, we ran an unusual chart that predicted – almost to the day – the new rally in crude oil. The chart displayed the "gold/oil" ratio.
The gold/oil ratio is the amount of crude oil one ounce of gold will buy. If gold is $800 an ounce and oil is $80 per barrel, the ratio is 10. If gold is $800 and oil is $40, the ratio is 20. When the ratio dips below 10, gold is cheap relative to crude oil, and it's a safe bet gold will outperform oil over the following year. When the ratio climbs above 20, the opposite is true... crude oil is cheap. Last winter, thousands of investors fled economically sensitive assets like crude oil and piled into crisis assets like gold. The ratio shot up from a sleepy 8-10 reading to a "boiling" reading of 24 around Christmastime. It was like a teapot set on a hot burner. The pressure had to be released in the form of lower gold, higher oil, or a mixture of both. We got the latter. Gold is down $75 an ounce from its February high. Oil is up $14 per barrel from its low reached around the same time. As you can see this "gold down/oil up" situation has relieved the pressure a bit… but oil is still cheap. Considering the black stuff broke out to a new four-month high in the face of terrible economic news, it's a good bet oil will keep rising and the ratio will keep falling. |
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