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Read This Before You Refinance Your HouseBy Dr. Steve SjuggerudTuesday, March 17, 2009
Realtors always warn you "You'd better act now before rates go up."
![]() Japanese mortgage rates are extremely low – less than 3% – and have been for a very long time. The brutal reality is lower mortgage rates haven't enticed the Japanese people to borrow. They were burned so badly in the bust that started in 1991, they still haven't ventured back in.
Further Reading:
The Coming 'Lost Decade' in America?
HERE'S ANOTHER CRITICAL INDICATOR TO FOLLOW Another critical asset "holding the line" right now: corporate bonds.
Corporate bonds had a terrible 2008. Back in September, investors got scared to death of anything related to debt, so they dumped their holdings and set off a huge decline in bond values. Our chart of exchange-traded fund LQD shows this decline. This ETF is a diversified basket of bonds issued by companies like Johnson & Johnson, Wal-Mart, and IBM. It fell from $99 a share to $80 a share in less than a month... a giant move for boring bonds. Now here's the good news: As you can see, the LQD has rallied off its panic lows and held on to most of its gains. It's incredibly important for this fund to remain above 2008 levels. It tells us the most important companies in America are servicing their debts. You can throw LQD in our bin of "real world" indicators. As we covered last week, several of these indicators (copper, oil, and Intel) are actually rising in the face of terrible economic reports. The strength here isn't cause to celebrate the end of job losses and home foreclosures. It's just an early glimmer of light. But if these indicators can remain above their 2008 levels, it's a sign things are getting "less bad." |
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