Learn more
Advanced Search

What Would You Do With $100,000 of Family Money?

By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Friday, May 8, 2009

In 1993, my father did something incredibly nice for me...
 
He entrusted me to manage $100,000 of his money.
 
This was far from pocket change... My dad was a career Navy man, and my mom a schoolteacher – not exactly get-rich-quick professions. And neither of them came from money.
 
I was just starting out as a stockbroker. I have the full academic education in finance, all the way to a PhD. But looking back, the biggest financial education I ever received was from that $100,000...
 
The money was an enormous weight. This was my dad's IRA money... What if I screwed it up? I was determined not to lose it.
 
So in my dad's portfolio, I was conservative. I only bought "deep value" stocks and safe income plays. And I only bought once they'd fallen to the point where it seemed we couldn't possibly lose money. (And then they'd go down!)
 
I wish I could tell you I doubled or tripled his account in a few years. The reality is, it crept forward. And if I didn't have the "tailwind" of a slight uptrend in the market, it might have crept backward.
 
Meanwhile, I had a client in New York whose account was the same size as my dad's. Ellen was probably 70 years old. But she was not afraid of the markets...
 
"My dear, what's Malaysia Fund doing today?" she'd ask.
 
"It's around $16," I'd tell her. The stock was up from where she bought it.
 
"Buy me some more of it," she'd say.
 
"But Ellen, you've already got a big stake in this one, and you can't lose this money. Are you sure?"
 
"Buy me some more of it."
 
"OK."
 
A few weeks would go by. Then we'd have the same conversation, only the fund was $2 higher...
 
"Where's Malaysia Fund today?"
 
"It's around $18."
 
"Buy me some more of it."
 
"Are you sure? This is really getting to be a big stake here..."
 
"Buy me some more of it."
 
Ellen's account was going up in nearly every position. Meanwhile, my dad's account was just treading water. My main goal was not to lose his money. I was scared to take a risk. So I wasn't making him much money.
 
A couple more months went by. I got the same call from Ellen. With the Malaysia Fund at $23, she bought even more.
 
At this point, I didn't really protest. I didn't tell her this... but it seemed to me she was better at this than I was. Heck, she'd been at it longer than me.
 
When a stock my dad owned went up 20%, we sold it. I could hardly wait to lock in a profit. Meanwhile, this little old lady from New York was doing the opposite... When a stock Ellen owned went up 20%, she was buying more. And she was making real money.
 
I wish this story had a happy ending. But like most individual investors, Ellen didn't have any "exit strategy." She didn't use trailing stops or anything else. Instead, she made the all-too-human error of hanging on too long.
 
In other words, she only got it half right.
 
In DailyWealth, and in my newsletter True Wealth, I've showed you theeasiest lesson of successful investingCut your losers and let your winners ride.
 
Nobody taught us that in business school. But around the time I was working with Ellen, I read the book Market Wizards, by Jack Schwager. The guys in the book made their fortunes in various ways... but there was one common thread: These successful traders simply tried to catch the majority of an uptrend (let their winners ride) and avoid the big downtrends (cutting their losers using things like trailing stops).
 
I hope that – as a DailyWealthreader or True Wealth subscriber – trailing stops have helped you ride the big uptrends and avoid the big downtrends. (And if you haven't been using them, I hope the experience of the last few years is proof of their value...)
 
If you want to make a lot of money in the markets... and not lose much when your stocks go down... then you need to follow the Market Wizardsand Ellen and let your winners ride. More importantly, you need an exit strategy to cut your losers early so you can always keep your account heading in the right direction – up.
 
Good investing,
 
Steve 
 
P.S. Trailing stops are an important part of what we do in my newsletterTrue Wealth. They've kept us in the money. For the sake of your wealth, I hope you use them, too...
 
My two favorite ways to keep track of trailing stops are through TradeStops and through XLQ, available at www.qmatix.com






AN UPDATE ON LAST MONTH'S SHORT SALE

For the traders out there: Shorting secondary education stocks is turning out to be a great move.

To recap, the secondary education sector (aka "for-profit" colleges) is one of the few that advanced in the dark days of October 2008 to February 2009. Investors thought the newly unemployed would flock to these schools to get more education. The "bell cow" of the sector, Apollo Group, gained 70% during the rally.

Unfortunately for Apollo, the stock market is meanest place on Earth. It's always asking, "Yes, but what are you going to do for me in a few months?" Last month, we pointed out Apollo's answer was "I'm out of ideas." Apollo's stock was declining on massive trading volume... which showed "big money" investors were running for the exits.

An update on the trade: All kinds of secondary education stocks have reported solid earnings in the past week... only to get clobbered for their trouble. All are declining on massive trading volume. And the bell cow? She fell 4% yesterday to reach a fresh seven-month low.

classics recent articles
  • I Touched $150 Trillion in Cash Yesterday
    By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud Thursday, May 7, 2009
    I get a kick out of million-peso notes from all over South America. The 50 million-deutschemark note from Weimar Germany is interesting. But the Zimbabwe bill with "$100,000,000,000,000" written on it now takes the cake.



  • If You Don't Watch This Chart, You're Going to Lose Money
    By Tom Dyson Wednesday, May 6, 2009
    The long bond competes with other income investments for investor capital. So a rise in the long bond's interest rate can crush certain income investments.


  • This Is When the Big Money Is Made in Stocks
    By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud Tuesday, May 5, 2009

    Buy today, and try not to get caught up in the day-to-day gyrations. They'll drive you nuts. If we could close our eyes, snap our fingers, and be transported to the summer of 2010, I think we'd end up thankful we bought stocks today.


  • This Market Is Weaker Than a Wet Paper Bag
    By Tom Dyson Monday, May 4, 2009
    To make successful short plays, old-time traders will tell you, "Throw your rocks into the wettest paper bags." The long-bond market is a wet paper bag. The long bond is so weak, not even the Fed's printing press can hold it up.


  • Where to Find the Best Deals in Physical Gold
    By Jeff Clark Saturday, May 2, 2009
    If you start to hear, "Hey, my friend, I have a great deal right now on a rare Swiss coin...," you might want to reconsider where you shop.